Little Rock vs. Western Illinois Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 12

In a matchup featuring one of the sputtering teams in college basketball, the Western Illinois Leathernecks (5-21, 1-14 OVC) face the Little Rock Trojans (9-16, 6-8 OVC) at LeRoy A. Ufkes Court at Western Hall on February 12, 2026. The Leathernecks are 1-9 in their past 10 games. They enter this matchup as underdogs by 7.5 points. The over/under for the matchup is set at 141.5.

Little Rock is coming off of a 71-61 loss to SIU-Edwardsville in its last game on Saturday. In the loss, Johnathan Lawson paced Little Rock with 18 points. Western Illinois heads into this contest following a 79-70 victory against Eastern Illinois on Tuesday. Lucas Lorenzen recorded 24 points, eight rebounds and two assists for Western Illinois.

Little Rock vs. Western Illinois Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: LeRoy A. Ufkes Court at Western Hall in Macomb, Illinois
• Spread favorite: Little Rock -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: Little Rock -365
• Moneyline underdog: Western Illinois +270
• Over/Under: 141.5 points

How to watch Little Rock vs. Western Illinois

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Little Rock vs. Western Illinois

• A total of 11 of Little Rock's games this season have gone over Thursday's over/under of 141.5 points.
• This season, 11 games Western Illinois has played finished with a combined score higher than 141.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 135.9 points per game, 5.6 points fewer than the point total of 141.5 for this matchup.
• This game's over/under is 10.3 less than the 151.8 points these two teams combine to allow per game.
• Little Rock has seen a 145.5 average over/under in its games this season, 4.0 points more than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 0.7 points lower than the average over/under in Western Illinois' games this season (142.2 points).

Betting the Spread: Little Rock vs. Western Illinois

• In Little Rock's 23 games this year, it has nine wins against the spread.
• The Trojans have been favored by 7.5 points or more one time this season and have not covered the spread in any of them.
• Western Illinois has played 23 games, with 11 wins against the spread.
• The Leathernecks have an against the spread record of 8-7 in their 15 games as an underdog of 7.5 points or more this season.
• Western Illinois is 3-5 against the spread, and 1-7 overall, at home this season.
• On the road, Little Rock is 7-9 against the spread, and 4-12 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Little Rock vs. Western Illinois

• Little Rock has won four of the six games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Trojans have played as a favorite of -365 or more once this season and won that game.
• Little Rock has a 78.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Western Illinois has been a moneyline underdog in 23 games this season and has come away with the win two times (8.7%) in those contests.
• The Leathernecks have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +270 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Western Illinois has a 27% chance of pulling out a win.