Lightning vs. Stars NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 18
18 January 2026

An exciting interconference battle will be held on Sunday, Jan. 18, when the Tampa Bay Lightning (29-13-4, second in Eastern Conference) visit the Dallas Stars (27-12-9, second in Western Conference). Lightning (-125) at Stars (+105) has a definite favorite, according to the moneyline odds.
Tampa Bay fell in a shootout on the road its last time out on Jan. 16 against the St. Louis Blues 3-2, dropping the shootout 1-0 to seal the loss. Nikita Kucherov (one goal and one assist) and Darren Raddysh (two assists) both had two points for the Lightning.
Dallas lost 2-1 on the road against the Utah Mammoth in its most recent game on Jan. 15. Three Stars skaters recorded one point each in that outing, including Mikko Rantanen (one goal) and Wyatt Johnston (one assist).
Ahead of watching this matchup, here is a look at which club we predict will emerge with the victory in Sunday's action on the ice.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Lightning vs. Stars Predictions & Pick
For the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Dallas Stars, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Stars 4 - Lightning 3
- Pick OU:
Over 5.5
(Dunkel projecting 7.04 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Lightning vs. Stars Moneylines
Take a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Lightning-Stars matchup.
- Favorite: Lightning (-125)
- Underdog: Stars (+105)
Lightning Betting Insights
- The Lightning have been victorious in 22 of their 36 games when they were favored on the moneyline this season (61.1%).
- In games it has played with moneyline odds of -125 or shorter, Tampa Bay has compiled a 19-13 record (winning 59.4% of its games).
- The Lightning's implied moneyline win probability is 55.6% in this matchup.
- Tampa Bay's 46 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 5.5 goals 26 times.
Stars Betting Insights
- The Stars have won seven, or 63.6%, of the 11 games they have played while the underdog this season.
- Dallas is 2-4 this season when entering a game as an underdog by +105 or more on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 48.8% chance of victory for the Stars.
- Dallas' games this season have had over 5.5 goals 26 of 48 times.
Lightning Key Stats
- Tampa Bay's 160 total goals (3.5 per game) make it the seventh-highest scoring team in the league.
- The Lightning have allowed 117 total goals (2.5 per game), ranking second in league play for the fewest goals against.
- Its +43 goal differential is the second-best in the league.
- The 30 power-play goals the Lightning have recorded this season rank 14th in the NHL (on 147 power-play chances).
- Tampa Bay's 20.41% power-play conversion rate ranks 15th in the league.
- The Lightning have scored three shorthanded goals this season (16th among NHL teams).
- Tampa Bay kills 83.89% of opponent power plays, the fourth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- Tampa Bay wins 46.2% of its faceoffs to rank 31st in the NHL.
- The Lightning shoot 12.7% as a team (third in the league).
Stars Key Stats
- Dallas' 159 goals on the season (3.3 per game) rank eighth in the NHL.
- The Stars give up 2.8 goals per game (132 in total), the fifth-fewest in the NHL.
- It has the third-best goal differential in the league at +27.
- With 40 power-play goals (on 139 chances), the Stars are second-best in the NHL.
- Dallas has the NHL's second-best power-play percentage (28.78%).
- In terms of shorthanded goals, the Stars have three.
- At 79.74%, Dallas has the 16th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- Dallas wins 51.4% of faceoffs, seventh-best in the NHL.
- With a shooting percentage of 13.1%, the Stars are No. 1 in the league.
