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Lightning vs. Sharks NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 20

20 January 2026 By Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Lightning and San Jose Sharks -- both coming off wins in their last game -- will play on Tuesday at 7 p.m. ET, at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa. The Sharks are heavy underdogs away from home, at +250, and the Lightning are -310.

Tampa Bay won 4-1 on the road its last time out on Jan. 18 against the Dallas Stars. The Lightning were led by Jake Guentzel (one goal and one assist) and Dominic James (one goal and one assist).

San Jose won on the road in its last game on Jan. 19, 4-1 over the Florida Panthers. Igor Chernyshov (two assists) and Michael Misa (two assists) both had two points for the Sharks in that outing.

Ahead of watching this matchup, here's a peek at which team we pick to bring home the victory in Tuesday's action on the ice.

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Lightning vs. Sharks Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming contest between the Tampa Bay Lightning and San Jose Sharks, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Sharks 3 - Lightning 2
  • Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.02 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Sharks Moneylines

Grab a look below at the latest moneylines for the Lightning-Sharks game.

  • Favorite: Lightning (-310)
  • Underdog: Sharks (+250)

Lightning Betting Insights

  • The Lightning have been victorious in 23 of their 37 games when they were favored on the moneyline this season (62.2%).
  • Tampa Bay has had moneyline odds of -310 or shorter in just one game this season, and lost.
  • The implied moneyline probability in this game says the Lightning have a 75.6% chance to win.
  • Tampa Bay's games this season have finished above this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 20 times.

Sharks Betting Insights

  • This season the Sharks have been an underdog 47 times, and won 25, or 53.2%, of those games.
  • This season San Jose has won one of its four games when it's the underdog by at least +250 on the moneyline.
  • The Sharks have a 28.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • San Jose's games this season have had more than 6.5 goals 25 of 48 times.

Lightning Key Stats

  • Tampa Bay's 164 total goals (3.5 per game) make it the sixth-highest scoring team in the league.
  • The Lightning have conceded 118 total goals (2.5 per game), ranking second in NHL play for the fewest goals against.
  • Its +46 goal differential is the second-best in the league.
  • The 30 power-play goals the Lightning have put up this season (to rank 15th in the NHL) have come on 149 power-play chances.
  • Tampa Bay's 20.13% power-play conversion rate ranks 16th in the league.
  • The Lightning have scored three shorthanded goals this season.
  • Tampa Bay has the league's third-best penalty-kill percentage (84.11%).
  • Tampa Bay wins 46.1% of its faceoffs (31st in NHL).
  • The Lightning shoot 12.7% as a team (third in the league).

Sharks Key Stats

  • San Jose has 150 goals this season (3.1 per game), 18th in the NHL.
  • The Sharks concede 3.5 goals per game (168 in total), 30th in the NHL.
  • Its -18 goal differential ranks 25th in the league.
  • With 33 power-play goals (on 165 chances), the Sharks are 10th-best in the NHL.
  • San Jose's power-play percentage (20) ranks the team 17th in the league.
  • This season, the Sharks have two shorthanded goals (25th in league).
  • San Jose's has the 25th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (77.33%).
  • At 47.9%, San Jose has the NHL's 25th-ranked faceoff win percentage.
  • The 12.4% shooting percentage of the Sharks is fifth in the league.

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