Lightning vs. Penguins NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 13
13 January 2026

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Pittsburgh Penguins -- the former coming off a win, the latter a loss -- will face each other on Tuesday at 7 p.m. ET, at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh. The Penguins are underdogs despite being the hosts, at +120, and the Lightning are -142.
Tampa Bay earned a 5-1 victory on the road its last time out on Jan. 12 against the Philadelphia Flyers. The Lightning got two points apiece out of four players, including Darren Raddysh (two assists) and Jake Guentzel (one goal and one assist).
Pittsburgh's most recent game was a road loss, 1-0, to the Boston Bruins on Jan. 11. Arturs Silovs made zero saves and gave up zero goals in that matchup.
Before this matchup, here's who we predict to bring home the win in Tuesday's hockey action.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Lightning vs. Penguins Predictions & Pick
For predictions on the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Pittsburgh Penguins, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Penguins 4 - Lightning 3
- Pick OU:
Over 6.5
(Dunkel projecting 7.03 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Lightning vs. Penguins Moneylines
Take a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Lightning-Penguins matchup.
- Favorite: Lightning (-142)
- Underdog: Penguins (+120)
Lightning Betting Insights
- The Lightning have been victorious in 21 of their 34 games when they were favored on the moneyline this season (61.8%).
- Tampa Bay is 15-8 (winning 65.2% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -142 or shorter.
- The implied moneyline probability for this game says the Lightning have a 58.7% chance to win.
- Tampa Bay's 44 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 6.5 goals 20 times.
Penguins Betting Insights
- This season the Penguins have been an underdog 27 times, and won 14, or 51.9%, of those games.
- This season Pittsburgh has won five of its 15 games, or 33.3%, when it's the underdog by at least +120 on the moneyline.
- The Penguins have a 45.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Pittsburgh has played 21 games this season that finished with more than 6.5 goals.
Lightning Key Stats
- Tampa Bay's 157 total goals (3.6 per game) make it the second-highest scoring team in the league.
- Defensively, the Lightning are one of the stingiest squads in league action, giving up 114 total goals (2.6 per game) to rank second.
- Its goal differential (+43) makes the team second-best in the league.
- The 28 power-play goals the Lightning have scored this season (on 141 power-play chances) rank 14th in the NHL.
- Tampa Bay's 19.86% power-play conversion rate ranks 16th in the league.
- The three shorthanded goals the Lightning have scored this season rank 13th among NHL teams.
- Tampa Bay kills 83.33% of opponent power plays, the sixth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- Tampa Bay has the 31st-ranked faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 46.1%.
- The Lightning shoot 13.1% as a team (second in the league).
Penguins Key Stats
- Pittsburgh's 139 goals on the season (3.2 per game) rank 16th in the league.
- The Penguins have one of the top defenses in the NHL, allowing 130 total goals (3.0 per game), 10th in the NHL.
- It has the 10th-best goal differential in the league at +9.
- With 34 power-play goals (on 119 chances), the Penguins are sixth-best in the NHL.
- Pittsburgh has the NHL's third-best power-play percentage (28.57%).
- This season, the Penguins have one shorthanded goal (26th in league).
- The 82.31% penalty-kill percentage of Pittsburgh is eighth in the NHL.
- Pittsburgh wins 50.2% of faceoffs, 17th-ranked in the NHL.
- The 11% shooting percentage of the Penguins is 16th in the league.
