Lightning vs. Flyers NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 12

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Philadelphia Flyers -- the former coming off a win, the latter a loss -- will meet on Monday at 7 p.m. ET, at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia. The Flyers are underdogs despite being the hosts, at +124, and the Lightning are -148.

Tampa Bay won 7-2 on the road its last time out on Jan. 10 against the Philadelphia Flyers. Nikita Kucherov led the Lightning with four points (two goals and two assists).

Philadelphia played at home its last time out on Jan. 10, and fell 7-2 against the Tampa Bay Lightning. Five Flyers players had one point each in that matchup, including Noah Juulsen (one assist) and Owen Tippett (one goal).

Prepare for this matchup with a look at who we project to come out on top in Monday's game.

Lightning vs. Flyers Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Philadelphia Flyers, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Flyers 4 - Lightning 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.05 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Flyers Moneylines

Take a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Lightning-Flyers matchup.

• Favorite: Lightning (-148)
• Underdog: Flyers (+124)

Lightning Betting Insights

• The Lightning have won 60.6% of their games when favored on the moneyline this season (20-13).
• Tampa Bay is 14-8 (victorious in 63.6% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -148 or shorter.
• Based on the moneyline in this contest, the Lightning's implied win probability is 59.7%.
• Tampa Bay and its opponent have posted more than 6.5 goals in 20 of 43 games this season.

Flyers Betting Insights

• The Flyers have been an underdog in 28 games this season, and won 11 (39.3%).
• Philadelphia has a record of 5-12 in games when oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +124 on the moneyline.
• The Flyers have a 44.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Philadelphia has played 20 games this season that ended with over 6.5 goals.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay's 152 total goals (3.5 per game) make it the third-highest scoring team in the NHL.
• The Lightning have given up 113 total goals (2.6 per game), the second-fewest in league action.
• Its +39 goal differential is the second-best in the league.
• The 26 power-play goals the Lightning have recorded this season rank 16th in the NHL (on 137 power-play chances).
• Tampa Bay ranks 18th in the league with an 18.98% power-play conversion rate.
• The Lightning have capitalized with three shorthanded goals this season (13th among NHL squads).
• Tampa Bay kills 83.1% of opponent power plays, the sixth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Tampa Bay wins 46.3% of its faceoffs (31st in NHL).
• The Lightning shoot 13% as a team (second in the league).

Flyers Key Stats

• Philadelphia has 127 goals this season (3.0 per game), 23rd in the NHL.
• The Flyers' total of 124 goals given up (2.9 per game) is seventh in the league.
• Its +3 goal differential ranks 14th in the league.
• The Flyers have 19 power-play goals (30th in NHL) on 122 chances.
• Philadelphia's power-play percentage (15.57) ranks the team 30th in the league.
• In terms of shorthanded goals, the Flyers have two.
• Philadelphia's has the 11th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (80.77%).
• Philadelphia wins 49.3% of faceoffs, 21st-ranked in the NHL.
• The Flyers' 11.3% shooting percentage is ninth in the league.