Lightning vs. Flyers NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 10

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Philadelphia Flyers -- the former coming off a victory, the latter a loss -- will meet on Saturday at 7 p.m. ET, at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia. The sportsbooks have made the Lightning heavy favorites at -180 on the moneyline, despite being away from home, and the Flyers are at +150.

Tampa Bay grabbed a 4-2 victory at home its last time out on Jan. 6 against the Colorado Avalanche. The Lightning got two points apiece out of three skaters, including Nikita Kucherov (two assists) and Darren Raddysh (two assists).

Philadelphia played at home in its last game on Jan. 8, and lost 2-1 in overtime against the Toronto Maple Leafs. Christian Dvorak (one assist) and Travis Konecny (one goal) were among the three Flyers skaters who put up one point each in that matchup.

To prepare for this matchup, here is who we expect to emerge victorious in Saturday's hockey game.

Lightning vs. Flyers Predictions & Pick

For insights on the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Philadelphia Flyers, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Flyers 4 - Lightning 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.92 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Flyers Moneylines

Snag a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Lightning-Flyers matchup.

• Favorite: Lightning (-180)
• Underdog: Flyers (+150)

Lightning Betting Insights

• In the 32 times this season the Lightning have been a moneyline favorite, they have gone 19-13 in those games.
• Tampa Bay is 5-3 when playing with moneyline odds of -180 or shorter (62.5% win percentage).
• Based on the moneyline in this game, the Lightning's implied win probability is 64.3%.
• Tampa Bay and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 19 of 42 games this season.

Flyers Betting Insights

• The Flyers have been an underdog in 27 games this season, and won 11 (40.7%).
• Philadelphia has a record of 1-5 in games when oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +150 on the moneyline.
• The Flyers have a 40.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Philadelphia has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 19 of 42 games this season.

Lightning Key Stats

• Tampa Bay has scored the eighth-most goals in the NHL (145 total, 3.4 per game).
• The Lightning have allowed 111 total goals (2.6 per game), the second-fewest in league play.
• Its goal differential (+34) makes the team second-best in the league.
• The 26 power-play goals the Lightning have put up this season rank 15th in the NHL (on 135 power-play chances).
• Tampa Bay has the league's 18th-ranked power-play conversion rate (19.26%).
• The three shorthanded goals the Lightning have scored this season rank 13th among NHL squads.
• Tampa Bay's 83.57% penalty-kill success rate is the fifth-best in the league.
• Tampa Bay wins 46% of its faceoffs (31st in NHL).
• The Lightning make 12.6% of their shots (third in the league).

Flyers Key Stats

• Philadelphia's 125 goals on the season (3.0 per game) rank 22nd in the NHL.
• The Flyers' total of 117 goals given up (2.8 per game) is third in the league.
• With a goal differential of +8, the team is 11th in the league.
• The Flyers have 18 power-play goals (on 120 chances), 31st in the NHL.
• Philadelphia scores on 15% of its power plays, No. 30 in the league.
• The Flyers have two shorthanded goals (24th in league).
• Philadelphia's has the 15th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (80.47%).
• Philadelphia wins 49.5% of faceoffs, 20th-ranked in the NHL.
• The Flyers' 11.4% shooting percentage is ninth in the league.