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Lightning vs. Canucks NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Oct. 17

17 October 2026 By Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Vancouver Canucks -- the former coming off a victory, the latter a loss -- will meet on Saturday at 4 p.m. ET, at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa. The sportsbooks have made the Lightning big favorites at -395 on the moneyline, and the Canucks are at +310.

Tampa Bay won 4-3 at home its last time out on Oct. 15 against the Seattle Kraken. Brandon Hagel had two points (two goals) for the Lightning.

Vancouver lost 3-2 in overtime on the road against the Florida Panthers in its most recent game on Oct. 15. The Canucks got one point apiece out of five skaters in that matchup, including Filip Chytil (one assist) and Liam Ohgren (one goal).

Get ready for this matchup with a look at who we project to come out on top in Saturday's contest.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Lightning vs. Canucks Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Vancouver Canucks, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Lightning 4 - Canucks 1
  • Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Lightning vs. Canucks Moneylines

Take a look below at the latest moneylines for the Lightning-Canucks matchup.

  • Favorite: Lightning (-395)
  • Underdog: Canucks (+310)

Lightning Betting Insights

  • In the seven times this season the Lightning have been favored on the moneyline, they have finished 5-2 in those games.
  • Tampa Bay has not played with moneyline odds of -395 or shorter.
  • The Lightning's implied moneyline win probability is 79.8% in this contest.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have scored a combined total of more than 6.5 goals two times this season (in seven games).

Canucks Betting Insights

  • This season the Canucks have won one of the eight games in which they've been an underdog.
  • Vancouver has not been listed as a bigger underdog this season than the +310 moneyline in this game.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 24.4% chance of victory for the Canucks.
  • Vancouver has combined with its opponent to score more than 6.5 goals in four of nine games this season.

Lightning Key Stats

  • Tampa Bay ranks 19th in the league with 21 goals scored (3.0 per game).
  • The Lightning have conceded 19 total goals (2.7 per game), ranking fourth in NHL action for the fewest goals against.
  • It has the league's 12th-ranked goal differential at +2.
  • The two power-play goals the Lightning have scored this season rank 29th in the NHL (on 27 power-play chances).
  • Tampa Bay's 7.41% power-play conversion rate ranks 32nd in the league.
  • Tampa Bay's 77.78% penalty-kill success rate ranks 22nd in the league.
  • Tampa Bay wins 45.3% of its faceoffs to rank 29th in the NHL.
  • The Lightning have a 9.9% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks 24th in the league.

Canucks Key Stats

  • With 28 goals (3.1 per game), Vancouver has the league's eighth-best offense.
  • The Canucks' total of 41 goals allowed (4.6 per game) is 32nd in the NHL.
  • With a goal differential of -13, the team is 30th in the league.
  • The Canucks have five power-play goals (14th in NHL) on 28 chances.
  • Vancouver's power-play percentage (17.86) puts the team 19th in the league.
  • The Canucks have two shorthanded goals (second in NHL).
  • At 60.00%, Vancouver has the 31st-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Vancouver is 25th in faceoff win percentage in the NHL (47.5%).
  • With a shooting percentage of 14.2%, the Canucks are fifth in the league.

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