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Lightning vs. Bruins NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Feb. 1

01 February 2026 By Data Skrive

Both the Tampa Bay Lightning and Boston Bruins are coming off a victory, heading into their meeting at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET. Lightning (-218) versus Bruins (+180) has a clear favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Tampa Bay claimed a 4-1 home victory against the Winnipeg Jets its last time out on Jan. 29. The Lightning were led by Darren Raddysh (one goal and two assists) and Yanni Gourde (one goal and two assists).

In its most recent game on Jan. 29, Boston claimed a 6-3 home victory against the Philadelphia Flyers. Fraser Minten (one goal and two assists) and Casey Mittelstadt (one goal and two assists) both had three points for the Bruins in that matchup.

Ahead of watching this matchup, here's our prediction for which team will secure the win in Sunday's hockey action.

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Lightning vs. Bruins Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Boston Bruins, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Lightning 3 - Bruins 1
  • Pick OU: Under 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 4.07 goals)

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Lightning vs. Bruins Moneylines

Snag a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Lightning-Bruins game.

  • Favorite: Lightning (-218)
  • Underdog: Bruins (+180)

Lightning Betting Insights

  • The Lightning have been victorious in 27 of their 42 games when they were favored on the moneyline this season (64.3%).
  • When it has played with moneyline odds of -218 or shorter, Tampa Bay has put together a 4-1 record (winning 80.0% of its games).
  • The Lightning's implied moneyline win probability is 68.6% in this game.
  • Tampa Bay's games this season have gone over this matchup's total of 5.5 goals 27 times.

Bruins Betting Insights

  • This season the Bruins have won 20 of the 37 games, or 54.1%, in which they've been an underdog.
  • This season Boston has been at least a +180 underdog on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 35.7% chance of victory for the Bruins.
  • Boston has played 32 games this season that ended with over 5.5 goals.

Lightning Key Stats

  • Tampa Bay's 180 total goals (3.5 per game) rank eighth in the league.
  • Defensively, the Lightning have been the stingiest squad in NHL play, giving up 129 total goals (only 2.5 per game).
  • Its +51 goal differential is the second-best in the league.
  • The 33 power-play goals the Lightning have recorded this season (on 160 power-play chances) rank 15th in the NHL.
  • Tampa Bay ranks 16th in the league with a 20.63% power-play conversion rate.
  • The three shorthanded goals the Lightning have scored this season rank 20th among NHL squads.
  • Tampa Bay kills 84.57% of opponent power plays, the second-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Tampa Bay has the 30th-ranked faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 46.6%.
  • The Lightning make 12.5% of their shots (third in the league).

Bruins Key Stats

  • Boston's 184 goals on the season (3.4 per game) rank fourth in the NHL.
  • The Bruins allow 3.1 goals per game (170 in total), 18th in the NHL.
  • With a goal differential of +14, the team is ninth-best in the league in that category.
  • With 42 power-play goals (on 157 chances), the Bruins are fourth-best in the NHL.
  • Boston has the league's fourth-best power-play percentage (26.75%).
  • This season, the Bruins have two shorthanded goals (25th in league).
  • The 77.61% penalty-kill percentage of Boston is 25th in the league.
  • Boston wins 52.1% of faceoffs, fifth-best in the NHL.
  • With a shooting percentage of 12.5%, the Bruins are third in the league.

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