Kentucky vs. Texas Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 21

The Kentucky Wildcats (12-6, 3-2 SEC) host the Texas Longhorns (11-7, 2-3 SEC) at Rupp Arena, beginning at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 21, 2026. The Wildcats are 7.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 156.5 points.

Kentucky took care of business in its last matchup 80-78 against Tennessee on Saturday. Denzel Aberdeen's team-high 22 points paced Kentucky in the victory. Texas fell in its last game 74-70 against Texas A&M on Saturday. Jordan Pope scored 17 points in Texas' loss, leading the team.

Kentucky vs. Texas Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Rupp Arena in Lexington, Kentucky
• Spread favorite: Kentucky -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: Kentucky -352
• Moneyline underdog: Texas +285
• Over/Under: 156.5 points

How to watch Kentucky vs. Texas

• TV Channel: SEC Network
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Kentucky vs. Texas

• Kentucky and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (156.5 points) eight times this season.
• This season, 10 of Texas' games have ended with a combined score higher than 156.5 points.
• The Wildcats average 82.9 points per game against the Longhorns' 86.3, amounting to 12.7 points over the matchup's point total of 156.5.
• The 144.6 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 11.9 fewer than the 156.5 total in this contest.
• This season the average over/under for Kentucky's games is 153.1 points, 3.4 lower than the over/under of 156.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this contest is 4.2 points lower than the average over/under in Texas' games this season (160.7 points).

Betting the Spread: Kentucky vs. Texas

• Kentucky is 8-10-0 against the spread this season.
• So far this season, the Wildcats have been installed as favorites by a 7.5-point margin or more nine times and are 5-4 ATS in those contests.
• Texas has 10 wins against the spread in 18 games this year.
• The Longhorns have covered the spread twice this year when underdogs by 7.5 points or more (in four chances).
• Kentucky is 6-5 against the spread, and 9-2 overall, at home.
• At home, as a 7.5-point favorite or greater, Kentucky is 5-4 ATS.
• Texas has two wins against the spread, and are 1-2 overall, on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Kentucky vs. Texas

• Kentucky has been the moneyline favorite in 13 games this season and won 10 (76.9%) of those contests.
• The Wildcats are 7-1 this season when entering a game favored by -352 or more on the moneyline.
• Kentucky has a 77.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Texas has been victorious in three of the six contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This year, the Longhorns have won one of four games when listed as at least +285 or worse on the moneyline.
• Texas has an implied victory probability of 26% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.