Kentucky vs. Oklahoma Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 4
04 February 2026

In a contest featuring one of the sputtering teams in college basketball, the Oklahoma Sooners (11-11, 1-8 SEC) face the Kentucky Wildcats (15-7, 6-3 SEC) at Rupp Arena on February 4, 2026. The Sooners have lost eight in a row and are 2-8 in their past 10 games. They enter this matchup as underdogs by 8.5 points. The matchup has an over/under of 152.5 points.
Kentucky took care of business in its last game 85-77 against Arkansas on Saturday. Otega Oweh scored a team-high 24 points for Kentucky in the victory. Oklahoma is coming off of a 79-69 loss to Texas in its last outing on Saturday. Nijel Pack scored 23 points in Oklahoma's loss, leading the team.
Kentucky vs. Oklahoma Odds and Game Time
- When: Wednesday, February 4, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
- Where: Rupp Arena in Lexington, Kentucky
- Spread favorite: Kentucky -8.5
- Moneyline favorite: Kentucky -467
- Moneyline underdog: Oklahoma +355
- Over/Under: 152.5 points
How to watch Kentucky vs. Oklahoma
- TV Channel: ESPN2
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Kentucky vs. Oklahoma
- Kentucky and its opponents have combined to outscore Wednesday's over/under (152.5 points) 11 times this season.
- This season, 17 games Oklahoma has played finished with a combined score higher than 152.5 points.
- Together, the two teams combine for 164.2 points per game, 11.7 points more than the point total of 152.5 for this contest.
- These two teams give up a combined 147.4 points per game, 5.1 points less than this contest's over/under.
- On average, the over/under in Kentucky's games is 0.1 fewer points than the over/under of 152.5 in this contest.
- A difference of 6.7 points separates the average over/under in Oklahoma's games (159.2 points) and this contest's over/under (152.5).
Betting the Spread: Kentucky vs. Oklahoma
- In Kentucky's 22 games this year, it has nine wins against the spread.
- The Wildcats are 5-5 ATS when favored by 8.5 points or more this season.
- In Oklahoma's 22 games this season, it has seven wins against the spread.
- This season, the Sooners are winless ATS when entering a game as an underdog of 8.5 points or more.
- At home this year, Kentucky is 11-2 overall and 6-7 against the spread.
- At home, as a 8.5-point favorite or more, Kentucky is 5-5 ATS.
- In away games, Oklahoma has two wins against the spread and are 1-4 overall.
Betting the Moneyline: Kentucky vs. Oklahoma
- This season, Kentucky has been moneyline favorites 15 times and won 12, or 80%, of those games.
- This season, the Wildcats have won eight of their nine games, or 88.9%, when favored by at least -467 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 82.4% chance of a victory for Kentucky.
- Oklahoma has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 10 games this year and has walked away with the win one time (10%) in those games.
- The Sooners have played as an underdog of +355 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- Oklahoma has an implied victory probability of 22% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
Dunkel Index Prediction for Kentucky vs. Oklahoma
- Pick ATS: Oklahoma (+ 8.5)
- Pick OU:
Under (152.5)
- Prediction: Kentucky 79 - Oklahoma 72
