Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 10

The Kentucky Wildcats (9-6, 0-2 SEC) host the Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-5, 2-0 SEC) at Rupp Arena, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 10, 2026. The Wildcats are 10.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has a point total of 153.5.

Kentucky is coming off of a 73-68 loss to Missouri in its most recent outing on Wednesday. In Kentucky's loss, Otega Oweh led the way with a team-high 20 points (adding five rebounds and four assists). Mississippi State is coming off of a 72-53 win against Oklahoma in its last game on Wednesday. Josh Hubbard totaled 30 points, one rebound and three assists for Mississippi State.

Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, January 10, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Rupp Arena in Lexington, Kentucky
• Spread favorite: Kentucky -10.5
• Moneyline favorite: Kentucky -633
• Moneyline underdog: Mississippi State +456
• Over/Under: 153.5 points

How to watch Kentucky vs. Mississippi State

• TV Channel: SEC Network
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Kentucky vs. Mississippi State

• This season, Kentucky's games have seen a combined score higher than this matchup's 153.5-point over/under six times.
• In Mississippi State's 15 games this season, nine finished with more combined points than Saturday's total of 153.5.
• The Wildcats average 83.1 points per game against the Bulldogs' 80.8, amounting to 10.4 points over the matchup's total of 153.5.
• These two teams give up a combined 145.3 points per game, 8.2 less than this contest's over/under.
• This season the average over/under for Kentucky's games is 152.6 points, 0.9 fewer than the over/under of 153.5 set for this contest.
• A difference of 3.1 points separates the average over/under in Mississippi State's games (156.6 points) and this contest's over/under (153.5).

Betting the Spread: Kentucky vs. Mississippi State

• Kentucky has played 15 games, with six wins against the spread.
• The Wildcats have been favored by 10.5 points or more eight times this season and are 4-4 ATS in those games.
• Mississippi State has six wins against the spread in 15 games this year.
• At home this year, Kentucky is 5-5 against the spread and 8-2 overall.
• Kentucky is 4-4 ATS as a 10.5-point favorite or greater at home.

Betting the Moneyline: Kentucky vs. Mississippi State

• Kentucky has won eight, or 72.7%, of the 11 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• This season, the Wildcats have won six of their seven games when favored by at least -633 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Kentucky has a 86.4% chance to win.
• Mississippi State has split the two games it has played as moneyline underdogs this season.
• The Bulldogs have yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +456.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Mississippi State has an 18% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Kentucky vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (- 10.5)
• Pick OU: Over (153.5)
  
• Prediction: Kentucky 87 - Mississippi State 72