Justin Herbert vs. Patriots - NFL - Player Props, Lines and Trends
10 January 2026
Before you bet on Justin Herbert's player props in Sunday's game, which starts at 8:15 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock, here are some key stats and trends to know. Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers square off against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium in the AFC Wild Card round of the 2025 NFL Playoffs.
Keep reading for more Dunkel stats, insights and trends.Justin Herbert Player Props
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220.5 | -113 | 1.5 | -105 | 28.5 | -116 | +500 |
Herbert Passing Insights
- Sunday's over/under for Herbert is 220.5 passing yards, 12.4 fewer than his 232.9 average for the year.
- In nine of 16 matchups this season, Herbert has thrown for more than 220.5 yards.
- Herbert's 232.9 passing yards per game are 9.9 below his average prop bet total (242.8).
- Herbert has exceeded his passing yards prop total in eight of 16 opportunities this season.
- Herbert has thrown for a touchdown in 15 of 16 games this season, with more than one TD pass eight times.
- In 11 of 16 games this season, Herbert has thrown an interception, with more than one pick on two occasions.
Herbert Rushing Insights
- Herbert's rushing yards prop bet for Sunday is set at 28.5. That's 2.6 fewer yards than his season average (31.1).
- Herbert has gained more than 28.5 yards on the ground in nine of 16 games so far this season.
- Herbert's rushing yards per game average this season of 31.1 yards is 10.7 more yards than his average rushing yards over/under (20.4).
- Herbert went over on his rushing yards prop bet total in 10 of his 16 opportunities this year (62.5%).
- Herbert has scored a rushing touchdown two times this season in 16 games.
New England Patriots Rankings
- Herbert will face the NFL's ninth-ranked pass defense this week. The Patriots concede 193.5 passing yards per contest.
- Opponents of the Patriots have totaled 25 touchdowns through the air (1.5 per game). The Patriots' defense is 14th in the NFL in that category.
- The Patriots' defense is ranked 18th in interceptions. Opposing quarterbacks have tossed 10 against the Patriots (0.6 per game).
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Last Five Games
| Opponent | Date | Week | Passing Stats | Rushing Stats |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs. Texans | 12/27/2025 | Week 17 | 21-for-32 / 236 YDS / 1 TD / 1 INT | 6 ATT / 37 YDS / 0 TDs |
| vs. Cowboys | 12/21/2025 | Week 16 | 23-for-29 / 300 YDS / 2 TDs / 0 INTs | 8 ATT / 42 YDS / 1 TD |
| vs. Chiefs | 12/14/2025 | Week 15 | 19-for-29 / 210 YDS / 1 TD / 1 INT | 2 ATT / 0 YDS / 0 TDs |
| vs. Eagles | 12/8/2025 | Week 14 | 12-for-26 / 139 YDS / 1 TD / 1 INT | 10 ATT / 66 YDS / 0 TDs |
| vs. Raiders | 11/30/2025 | Week 13 | 15-for-20 / 151 YDS / 2 TDs / 1 INT | 3 ATT / 8 YDS / 0 TDs |
