Jaguars vs. Bills AFC Wild Card Round Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Jacksonville Jaguars are slight favorites (-1.5) in an AFC Wild Card round matchup against the Buffalo Bills. The matchup has an over/under of 51.5 points.

The Jaguars are totaling 337.4 yards per game on offense (11th in NFL), and they rank 11th on defense with 303.6 yards allowed per game. The Bills' defense ranks 12th in the NFL with 21.5 points surrendered per game, but they've been bolstered by their offense, which ranks fourth-best by posting 28.3 points per contest.

Jaguars vs. Bills Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• City: Jacksonville, Florida
• Venue: EverBank Stadium
• Total: 51.5 points
• Spread: Jaguars -1.5
• Moneyline: Jaguars (-122), Bills (+102)

How to watch Jaguars vs. Bills

• TV Channel: CBS (KBAK-Bakersfield, CA)
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Jaguars vs. Bills

• In seven of 17 games this season, the Jaguars and their opponents have gone over 51.5 points.
• In Jacksonville's 17 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 10 times.
• The Bills have played five games this season that finished with a combined score over 51.5 points.
• In 2025, nine Buffalo games have gone over the point total.
• These teams score 56.2 points per game between them, 4.7 more than this game's over/under.
• Opponents of these two teams score 41.3 points per game combined, 10.2 fewer than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Jaguars vs. Bills

• Jacksonville has put together a 12-5-0 ATS record so far this year.
• When playing as at least 1.5-point favorites this season, the Jaguars have an ATS record of 7-2.
• The Bills are 8-9-0 ATS this season.
• Buffalo has covered the spread when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs in two of two games this season.
• At home this year, the Jaguars are 7-2 against the spread and 7-2 overall.
• As 1.5-point favorites or greater at home, Jacksonville is 4-0 ATS.
• This season away from home, the Bills are 4-4 against the spread and 5-3 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Jaguars vs. Bills

• Jacksonville has won 88.9% of the games this season when it was the moneyline favorite (8-1).
• The Bills have won both games they've played as underdogs this season.
• Jacksonville has played in eight games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -122 or shorter and won each of them.
• Buffalo has been at least a +102 moneyline underdog two times this season and won each of those games.
• The Jaguars have a 55.0% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Prediction for Jaguars vs. Bills

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