Iowa State vs. TCU Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 10

The No. 5 Iowa State Cyclones (21-2, 8-2 Big 12) are favored by 7.5 points over the TCU Horned Frogs (14-9, 4-6 Big 12) on February 10, 2026 at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena. The Cyclones are flying, having won five in a row and going 8-2 in their past 10 games. The matchup has an over/under of 147.5.

Last time out, Iowa State won on Saturday 72-69 against Baylor. In Iowa State's win, Milan Momcilovic led the way with a team-high 21 points (adding five rebounds and one assist). TCU's last contest on Saturday ended in an 84-82 victory against Kansas State. Xavier Edmonds totaled 26 points, 10 rebounds and zero assists for TCU.

Iowa State vs. TCU Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, February 10, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena in Fort Worth, Texas
• Spread favorite: Iowa State -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: Iowa State -360
• Moneyline underdog: TCU +277
• Over/Under: 147.5 points

How to watch Iowa State vs. TCU

• TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Iowa State vs. TCU

• Iowa State and its opponents have combined to outscore Tuesday's total (147.5 points) 13 times this season.
• This season, 12 of TCU's games have finished with a combined score higher than 147.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 164.8 points per game, 17.3 points more than the total of 147.5 for this game.
• These two teams surrender a combined 137 points per game, 10.5 points less than this contest's over/under.
• Iowa State has a 150.9 average over/under in its games this season, 3.4 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 3.4 points lower than the average over/under in TCU's games this season (150.9 points).

Betting the Spread: Iowa State vs. TCU

• Against the spread, Iowa State is 13-10-0 this season.
• This season, the Cyclones have an ATS record of 9-7 in their 16 games as a favorite of 7.5 points or more.
• Against the spread, TCU is 11-12-0 this season.
• So far this season, the Horned Frogs have been installed as underdogs by a 7.5-point margin or more five times and are 4-1 ATS in those contests.
• At home this season, TCU is 10-5 overall and 5-10 against the spread.
• TCU is 3-7 ATS as a 7.5-point underdog or greater at home.
• On the road, Iowa State is 4-2 against the spread, and 4-2 overall.
• Iowa State is unbeaten ATS (2-0) on the road as 7.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Iowa State vs. TCU

• Iowa State has won 18, or 90%, of the 20 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Cyclones have entered 14 games this season favored by -360 or more, and won each of those games.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 78.3% chance of a victory for Iowa State.
• TCU has been a moneyline underdog in eight games this season and has come away with the win three times (37.5%) in those contests.
• The Horned Frogs have a mark of 1-4 in contests where oddsmakers give them odds of +277 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that TCU has a 26.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Iowa State vs. TCU

• Pick ATS: TCU (+ 7.5)
• Pick OU: Over (147.5)
  
• Prediction: TCU 79 - Iowa State 78