Iowa State vs. Houston Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 16

The No. 5 Iowa State Cyclones (22-3, 9-3 Big 12) are favorites, by 2.5 points, over the No. 3 Houston Cougars (23-2, 11-1 Big 12) on February 16, 2026 at James H. Hilton Coliseum. The Cougars are red-hot, having won six in a row and going 9-1 in their past 10 games, yet are still the underdogs. The matchup has an over/under set at 134.5 points.

Iowa State took care of business in its last game 74-56 against Kansas on Saturday. In the victory, Milan Momcilovic led Iowa State with 18 points. In its most recent game on Saturday, Houston claimed a 78-64 victory over Kansas State. Emanuel Sharp's team-leading 23 points paced Houston in the win.

Iowa State vs. Houston Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, February 16, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: James H. Hilton Coliseum in Ames, Iowa
• Spread favorite: Iowa State -2.5
• Moneyline favorite: Iowa State -137
• Moneyline underdog: Houston +112
• Over/Under: 134.5 points

How to watch Iowa State vs. Houston

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Iowa State vs. Houston

• This season, Iowa State's games have gone over this matchup's 134.5-point total 20 times.
• This season, 12 games Houston has played finished with a combined score over 134.5 points.
• The over/under for the game of 134.5 is 28.0 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Cyclones (84.2 points per game) and the Cougars (78.3 points per game).
• The 125.8 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 8.7 fewer than the 134.5 over/under in this contest.
• On average, Iowa State has seen a 148.7-point over/under in its games this season, 14.2 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this contest is 5.1 points lower than the average over/under in Houston's games this season (139.6 points).

Betting the Spread: Iowa State vs. Houston

• Iowa State has 14 wins against the spread in 25 games this year.
• The Cyclones have an ATS record of 13-11 in their 24 games when favored by 2.5 points or more so far this season.
• In Houston's 25 games this year, it has 14 wins against the spread.
• Iowa State is 7-7 against the spread, and 14-0 overall, at home this year.
• This year, as a 2.5-point favorite or greater at home, Iowa State is 7-7 ATS.
• This season on the road, Houston is 4-2 against the spread and 5-1 overall.
• This season Houston is 3-1 ATS as 2.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Iowa State vs. Houston

• This season, Iowa State has won 19 out of the 22 games, or 86.4%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• This season, the Cyclones have won 19 of their 22 games, or 86.4%, when favored by at least -137 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Iowa State, based on the moneyline, is 57.8%.
• Houston will be named as the moneyline underdog for the first time this season.
• Oddsmakers have given the Cougars the worst odds of winning they have seen this season with a +112 moneyline listed for this contest.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Houston has a 47.2% chance of pulling out a win.