Iowa State vs. Baylor Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 7

The No. 3 Iowa State Cyclones (14-0, 1-0 Big 12) square off against the Baylor Bears (10-3, 0-1 Big 12) as 5.5-point favorites on Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET on Peacock. The matchup's over/under is set at 157.5.

Iowa State enters this matchup following an 80-59 win over West Virginia on Friday. Milan Momcilovic put up 26 points, three rebounds and one assist for Iowa State. Baylor's last outing on Saturday ended in a 69-63 loss to TCU. Cameron Carr put up 17 points, three rebounds and one assist for Baylor.

Iowa State vs. Baylor Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Foster Pavilion in Waco, Texas
• Spread favorite: Iowa State -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: Iowa State -251
• Moneyline underdog: Baylor +203
• Over/Under: 157.5 points

How to watch Iowa State vs. Baylor

• TV Channel: Peacock
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Iowa State vs. Baylor

• Iowa State and its opponents have combined to outscore Wednesday's total of 157.5 points five times this season.
• Eight of Baylor's games have finished with a combined score over 157.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 182.7 points per game, 25.2 points more than the total of 157.5 for this matchup.
• This game's total is 20.4 fewer points than the 137.1 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• This season the average over/under for Iowa State's games is 152.2 points, 5.3 fewer than the over/under of 157.5 set for this contest.
• The over/under for this contest is 10.0 points lower than the average over/under in Baylor's games this season (167.5 points).

Betting the Spread: Iowa State vs. Baylor

• In Iowa State's 14 games this season, it has eight wins against the spread.
• The Cyclones have an ATS record of 7-5 in their 12 games as a favorite of 5.5 points or more so far this season.
• Baylor is 6-6-0 against the spread this season.
• The Bears have yet to cover the spread this year when underdogs by 5.5 points or more.
• Baylor is 4-3 against the spread, and 7-0 overall, at home this season.
• As a 5.5-point underdog or greater at home, Baylor is 4-3 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Iowa State vs. Baylor

• Iowa State has been the moneyline favorite in 11 games this season and picked up the win in all of them.
• The Cyclones have entered 10 games this season favored by -251 or more, and won each of those games.
• Iowa State has a 71.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Baylor was defeated in both of the games it has played as moneyline underdogs this season.
• The Bears have played as an underdog of +203 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Baylor has a 33% chance of walking away with the win.