Incarnate Word vs. New Orleans Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 16

The Incarnate Word Cardinals (10-16, 5-12 Southland) face the New Orleans Privateers (12-15, 9-8 Southland) on February 16, 2026 at Alice P. McDermott Convocation Center. The Cardinals are favorites by 1.5 points as they look to stop a losing trend. They're losers of three in a row and are 2-8 in their last 10 games. The matchup has an over/under set at 156.5 points.

Incarnate Word is coming off of a 91-83 loss to Nicholls State in its last outing on Saturday. Jordan Pyke recorded 24 points, seven rebounds and two assists for Incarnate Word. New Orleans' most recent game was a 61-60 loss to Houston Christian on Saturday. Churchill Abass scored a team-high 18 points for New Orleans in the loss.

Incarnate Word vs. New Orleans Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, February 16, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Alice P. McDermott Convocation Center in San Antonio, Texas
• Spread favorite: Incarnate Word -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Incarnate Word -128
• Moneyline underdog: New Orleans +105
• Over/Under: 156.5 points

How to watch Incarnate Word vs. New Orleans

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Incarnate Word vs. New Orleans

• Incarnate Word and its opponents have combined to exceed Monday's total of 156.5 points six times this season.
• A total of 11 of New Orleans' games have finished with a combined score higher than 156.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 152.3 points per game, 4.2 fewer points than the point total of 156.5 for this contest.
• These two teams give up a combined 154.3 points per game, 2.2 less than this contest's over/under.
• This season the average over/under for Incarnate Word's games is 150.4 points, 6.1 lower than the over/under of 156.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 0.5 points more than the average over/under in New Orleans' games this season (156 points).

Betting the Spread: Incarnate Word vs. New Orleans

• Incarnate Word is 8-15-0 against the spread this year.
• The Cardinals are 3-8 ATS when favored by 1.5 points or more this season.
• New Orleans has played 26 games, with 14 wins against the spread.
• The Privateers have an ATS record of 11-9 in their 20 games when underdogs by 1.5 points or more this year.
• Incarnate Word is 4-5 against the spread, and 5-4 overall, at home this year.
• This year, as a 1.5-point favorite or more at home, Incarnate Word is 3-3 ATS.
• In away games, New Orleans is 6-11 overall and 8-9 against the spread.
• Away from home, New Orleans has one win ATS (1-1) as 1.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Incarnate Word vs. New Orleans

• Incarnate Word has won five, or 41.7%, of the 12 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Cardinals have a record of 5-3 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -128 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Incarnate Word, based on the moneyline, is 56.1%.
• New Orleans has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 19 games this year and has walked away with the win eight times (42.1%) in those games.
• This season, the Privateers have been victorious six times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies New Orleans has a 48.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Incarnate Word vs. New Orleans

• Pick ATS: New Orleans (+ 1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (156.5)
  
• Prediction: New Orleans 78 - Incarnate Word 72