Illinois State vs. Evansville Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 9

The Illinois State Redbirds (16-8, 8-5 MVC) face the Evansville Purple Aces (5-19, 1-12 MVC) on February 9, 2026 at Ford Center. The Purple Aces are underdogs by a 10.5-point margin as they enter the matchup with a 5-5 record in their last 10 games. The matchup's point total is set at 138.

In its most recent matchup on Friday, Illinois State claimed an 86-76 win over Drake. Ty'Reek Coleman totaled 19 points, eight rebounds and three assists for Illinois State. Evansville is coming off of a 70-63 OT loss to Valparaiso in its last game on Friday. Leif Moeller's team-high 26 points paced Evansville in the loss.

Illinois State vs. Evansville Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, February 9, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Ford Center in Evansville, Indiana
• Spread favorite: Illinois State -10.5
• Moneyline favorite: Illinois State -667
• Moneyline underdog: Evansville +458
• Over/Under: 138 points

How to watch Illinois State vs. Evansville

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Illinois State vs. Evansville

• Illinois State and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (138 points) 15 times this season.
• There have been 13 Evansville games that finished with a combined score over 138 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 143.5 points per game, 5.5 points more than the total of 138 for this matchup.
• These two teams surrender a combined 141.1 points per game, 3.1 more than this contest's over/under.
• Illinois State has a 143.5 average over/under in its games this season, 5.5 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this contest is 3.1 points lower than the average over/under in Evansville's games this season of 141.1.

Betting the Spread: Illinois State vs. Evansville

• Illinois State is 13-10-0 against the spread this year.
• So far this season, the Redbirds have been installed as favorites by a 10.5-point margin or more six times and are 4-2 ATS in those games.
• Evansville is 11-11-0 against the spread this year.
• This season, the Purple Aces have an ATS record of 3-4 in their seven games as an underdog of 10.5 points or more.
• Evansville is 4-5 against the spread, and 1-8 overall, at home.
• On the road, Illinois State is 4-4 overall and 3-5 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: Illinois State vs. Evansville

• Illinois State has won 13, or 76.5%, of the 17 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• This season, the Redbirds have won five of their six games when favored by at least -667 on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 87% chance of a victory for Illinois State.
• Evansville has won in two, or 10.5%, of the 19 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Purple Aces have won all of their seven games in which they were named as at least a +458 moneyline underdog.
• Evansville has an implied victory probability of 17.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Illinois State vs. Evansville

• Pick ATS: Evansville (+ 10.5)
• Pick OU: Over (138)
  
• Prediction: Evansville 71 - Illinois State 70