Illinois vs. Northwestern Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 4

In a game featuring one of the hottest teams in college basketball, the No. 5 Illinois Fighting Illini (19-3, 10-1 Big Ten, 10-0 in their last 10) face the Northwestern Wildcats (10-12, 2-9 Big Ten) at State Farm Center on February 4, 2026. The Fighting Illini are favorites by 15.5 points. The matchup's over/under is set at 150.5.

In its last time out, Illinois won on Sunday 78-69 over Nebraska. Keaton Wagler totaled 28 points, five rebounds and five assists for Illinois. Northwestern lost its last game 76-62 against Washington on Saturday. Nick Martinelli totaled 19 points, nine rebounds and one assist for Northwestern.

Illinois vs. Northwestern Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, February 4, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: State Farm Center in Champaign, Illinois
• Spread favorite: Illinois -15.5
• Moneyline favorite: Illinois -2000
• Moneyline underdog: Northwestern +1022
• Over/Under: 150.5 points

How to watch Illinois vs. Northwestern

• TV Channel: BTN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Illinois vs. Northwestern

• Illinois and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (150.5 points) 10 times this season.
• In Northwestern's 22 games this season, 11 finished with more combined points than Wednesday's over/under of 150.5.
• Together, the two teams combine for 161.2 points per game, 10.7 points more than the total of 150.5 for this contest.
• The 140.2 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 10.3 fewer than the 150.5 total in this contest.
• Illinois has a 152.9 average over/under in its games this season, 2.4 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• Northwestern's games have an average over/under of 148.6 points this season, 1.9 fewer points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: Illinois vs. Northwestern

• Illinois is 14-8-0 against the spread this season.
• The Fighting Illini have been favored by 15.5 points or more nine times this season and are 6-3 ATS in those matchups.
• Northwestern has played 22 games, with eight wins against the spread.
• Illinois is 11-1 overall, and 7-5 against the spread, at home.
• This season, as a 15.5-point favorite or more at home, Illinois is 6-3 ATS.
• Northwestern is 2-4 overall, and 3-3 against the spread, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Illinois vs. Northwestern

• This season, Illinois has won 16 out of the 18 games, or 88.9%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Fighting Illini are undefeated in eight games this season when favored by -2000 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Illinois, based on the moneyline, is 95.2%.
• Northwestern has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in eight games this year and has walked away with the win one time (12.5%) in those games.
• Oddsmakers have given the Wildcats the worst odds of winning they have seen this season with a +1022 moneyline listed for this contest.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Northwestern has an 8.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Illinois vs. Northwestern

• Pick ATS: Illinois (- 15.5)
• Pick OU: Under (150.5)
  
• Prediction: Illinois 83 - Northwestern 64