Texans vs. Steelers AFC Wild Card Round Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Houston Texans and Pittsburgh Steelers will meet in the AFC Wild Card round of the 2025 NFL Playoffs. The Texans are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The game has an over/under of 38.5 points.

The Texans own the 13th-ranked offense this year (23.8 points per game), and they've been more effective defensively, ranking second-best with only 17.4 points allowed per game. The Steelers rank 25th with 305.6 total yards per contest on offense, and they rank 26th with 356.9 total yards surrendered per contest on the defensive side of the ball.

Texans vs. Steelers Odds and Game Time

• Date: Monday, January 12, 2026
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• City: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Venue: Acrisure Stadium
• Total: 38.5 points
• Spread: Texans -3
• Moneyline: Texans (-155), Steelers (+130)

How to watch Texans vs. Steelers

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Texans vs. Steelers

• The Texans' 17 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 38.5 points nine times.
• A total of six out of 17 Houston games this season have hit the over.
• The Steelers have played 12 games this season that have had more than 38.5 combined points scored.
• Pittsburgh and its opponent have combined to hit the over 10 out of 17 times this season.
• The teams combine to score 47.2 points per game, 8.7 more points than this matchup's total.
• Opponents of these teams score 40.2 combined points per game, 1.7 more points than this contest's total.

Betting the Spread: Texans vs. Steelers

• Houston has put together a 9-8-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Houston has covered the spread twice when favored by 3 points or more this season (in five opportunities).
• The Steelers have put together a 9-8-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS this season when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
• At home this year, the Steelers are 6-3 against the spread and 6-3 overall.
• At home, as 3-point underdogs or more, Pittsburgh has two wins ATS (2-1).
• The Texans are 4-4 against the spread, and 5-3 overall, on the road.
• Houston is winless ATS (0-1) on the road as 3-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Texans vs. Steelers

• Houston has been the moneyline favorite nine total times this season. They've gone 7-2 in those games.
• The Steelers have entered the game as underdogs nine times this season and won five of those games.
• Houston has played six times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -155 or shorter, and claimed a victory in each game.
• Pittsburgh has a record of 4-2 in games where bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +130 on the moneyline.
• The Texans have a 60.8% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Prediction for Texans vs. Steelers

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