Houston vs. TCU Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 28

The No. 10 Houston Cougars (17-2, 5-1 Big 12) visit the TCU Horned Frogs (13-7, 3-4 Big 12) at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena, starting at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 28, 2026. The Horned Frogs are 7.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's point total is set at 138.5.

Houston fell in its most recent matchup 90-86 against Texas Tech on Saturday. In Houston's loss, Kingston Flemings led the way with a team-high 42 points (adding two rebounds and six assists). In its most recent matchup on Saturday, TCU earned a 97-90 victory against Baylor. Jayden Pierre scored a team-best 25 points for TCU in the victory.

Houston vs. TCU Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena in Fort Worth, Texas
• Spread favorite: Houston -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: Houston -403
• Moneyline underdog: TCU +312
• Over/Under: 138.5 points

How to watch Houston vs. TCU

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Houston vs. TCU

• Eight of Houston's games this season have gone over Wednesday's over/under of 138.5 points.
• In TCU's 20 games this season, 11 finished with more combined points than Wednesday's total of 138.5.
• The Cougars average 79.1 points per game against the Horned Frogs' 80.0, totaling 20.6 points over the matchup's total of 138.5.
• The 132 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 6.5 fewer than the 138.5 over/under in this contest.
• On average, Houston has seen a 140.7-point over/under in its games this season, 2.2 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 11.9 points lower than the average over/under in TCU's games this season of 150.4.

Betting the Spread: Houston vs. TCU

• Against the spread, Houston is 10-9-0 this year.
• So far this season, the Cougars have been installed as favorites by a 7.5-point margin or more 14 times and are 7-7 ATS in those matchups.
• TCU has played 20 games, with 11 wins against the spread.
• The Horned Frogs have always covered the spread this year when underdogs by 7.5 points or more in four chances.
• TCU is 5-8 against the spread, and 9-4 overall, at home.
• At home, TCU is 3-6 ATS as a 7.5-point underdog or greater.
• Houston is 2-1 overall, with two wins against the spread, on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Houston vs. TCU

• Houston has entered the game as moneyline favorites 16 times this season and won 14, or 87.5%, of those games.
• The Cougars have been at least a -403 moneyline favorite nine times this season and won each of those games.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 80.1% chance of a victory for Houston.
• TCU has come away with three wins in the seven contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Horned Frogs have been listed as an underdog of +312 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
• TCU has an implied victory probability of 24.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Houston vs. TCU

• Pick ATS: TCU (+ 7.5)
• Pick OU: Under (138.5)
  
• Prediction: TCU 66 - Houston 65