Rockets vs. Timberwolves Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Jan. 16

The Houston Rockets (23-15) battle the Minnesota Timberwolves (27-14) on January 16, 2026. The matchup airs on ESPN and SCHN.

Friday's matchup between the Rockets and the Timberwolves features the Rockets as 4.5-point favorites. A 221.5-point total is set for the game.

Rockets vs. Timberwolves Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Friday, January 16, 2026
• Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Houston, Texas
• Arena: Toyota Center
• Total: 221.5 points
• Spread: Rockets -4.5
• Moneyline: Rockets (-186), Timberwolves (+156)

How to watch Rockets vs. Timberwolves

• TV Channel: Space City Home Network
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Rockets vs. Timberwolves

• In 21 games this season, the Rockets and their opponents have gone over 221.5 total points.
• Timberwolves games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 221.5 points in 31 of 41 outings.
• These two teams average a combined 237.5 points per game, 16 more points than this matchup's point total.
• These teams surrender 225.4 points per game combined, 3.9 more points than the total for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Rockets vs. Timberwolves

• Houston has compiled an 18-20-0 ATS record so far this year.
• The Rockets have covered the spread 11 times this season (11-17 ATS) when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.
• The Timberwolves have covered 18 times in 41 games with a spread this season.
• Minnesota has covered the spread three times this season (3-1 ATS) when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
• At home this season, the Rockets are 12-3 overall and 6-9 against the spread.
• As a 4.5-point favorite or more at home, Houston is 5-7 ATS.
• The Timberwolves are 9-11 against the spread, and 12-8 overall, in away games.
• As 4.5-point underdogs or more away from home, Minnesota is 5-7 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Rockets vs. Timberwolves

• The Rockets have compiled a 22-13 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 62.9% of those games).
• This season, the Timberwolves have been the underdog nine times and won three of those games.
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -186 or shorter, Houston has a record of 17-10 (63% win percentage).
• This season, Minnesota has won two of its four games when it is the underdog by at least +156 on the moneyline.
• The Rockets have a 65.0% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Rockets vs. Timberwolves

• Pick ATS: Rockets (- 4.5)
• Pick OU: Over (221.5)
  
• Prediction: Rockets 117 - Timberwolves 110
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!