Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies Game 3 Betting Preview/Prop Picks
31 October 2022
Time: 8:03 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 17.642; Philadelphia 18.539
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 9
Vegas Line & Total: Houston (-133); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+114); Over
The third game of the World Series will take place tonight at 8:03 PM ET. This time, the Houston Astros will be playing in Philadelphia. Coming off a 5-2 win in Game 2, spirits in Houston are likely pretty high at the moment.
They found a way to tie the series and now can focus on getting a lead. The only problem is they’re playing on the road, which isn’t an easy task.
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game as +114 underdogs. There are a few reasons for this which we’ll get into below.
Philadelphia was able to steal a key win over the Houston Astros to start this series. Now that they’re back at home, the Phillies need to find a way to get a lead in the series.
Houston Astros: Lance McCullers Jr. gets the nod tonight
Lance McCullers Jr. is getting the start on the mound for the Houston Astros today. During the regular season, McCullers posted a record of 4-2 with a 2.27 ERA.
It was a pretty great year for him, but he can improve on it today. He can’t give up any big hits to the Phillies and give his batters time to put runs on the board.
Speaking of the Astros batters, this group has a batting average of .248. They ranked 12th in Major League Baseball during the regular season. It wasn’t a great year at the plate, but they posted a 106-56 record.
Tonight, however, they’ll need a lot more help from their batters. If they can have a game similar to yesterday’s, they’ll pull off a win tonight.
Philadelphia Phillies: Phillies will send out Noah Syndergaard
Tonight seems as if it will be the battle of the pitchers as the Phillies send out Noah Syndergaard. Syndergaard had an interesting year, posting a record of 10-10 during the regular season.
His 3.94 ERA wasn’t very good either, but he did earn ten wins for the Phillies. Tonight, they’ll need Syndergaard to be at the top of his game against the Houston Astros.
The good news is he has a strong batting lineup to back him up. With a .253 average during the regular season, the Phillies ranked eighth in Major League Baseball.
They have an on-base percentage of .317, an impressive outing as well. The Phillies are a strong team, and they showed that in their Game 1 win. The question is, can they earn another tonight?
Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick
The Houston Astros might be the favorite in this game, but they aren’t who we’ll take. They’re a strong team, but they’re on the road for the first time in two games. McCullers Jr. is the better pitcher, but the Phillies have the better bats.
Frankly, we think this game is going to be incredibly close. We could see the Phillies scoring a late run to secure the win here. We’ll also take the over in this game, as each of these offenses can put up runs.
DunkelIndex Free Pick: Philadelphia Phillies (+114), OVER
Prop Picks
Philadelphia (-110) OVER 3.5 Runs
Philadelphia is averaging 4.64 runs per 9 innings on offense, which ranks No. 7 in MLB. That average increases to 5.01 runs per 9 innings at home. Scores have gone OVER in seven of the Phillies’ last eight home games.
With Dunkel predicting a Philadelphia win by the score of 5-4, take the Phillies (-110) to finish OVER their team total of 3.5 runs against the Astros.
Lance McCullers Jr. (-120) OVER 4.5 Hits Allowed
Philadelphia is averaging 8.51 hits per 9 innings this season, which ranks No. 10 in MLB. That average increases to 8.67 hits per 9 innings at home.
With Dunkel predicting the final score going OVER the Vegas run total, take the McCullers Jr. (-120) to finish OVER 4.5 hits allowed versus the Phillies.
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