Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers Betting Preview/Prop Picks
13 September 2022
Time: 6:40 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 14.737; Detroit 15.708
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Houston (-225); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+190); Under
The Houston Astros currently lead the AL West with a 91-50 record. Over the course of their last five games, they’ve gone 4-1, an impressive feat. Today, they face the Detroit Tigers again, who they beat 7-0 yesterday.
As they climb their way up the American League, we can only expect them to get better. This is especially true as they face off against the Tigers again tonight.
The Detroit Tigers have a long way to go before they become competitive. With a record of 54-87, the Tigers have just a 30-41 record at home this year. They do, however, have a 3-2 record over their last five games, so keep that in mind.
If they can find a way to take down the Astros, it’ll be the upset of the day. The question is, can they make that happen after last night?
Houston Astros: Strong batting will earn them another win
The Houston Astros do several things well, and batting is one of them. With a .246 batting average, the Astros rank 13th in the league.
They have an on-base percentage of .320, ranking eighth overall, and a slugging percentage of .419. This is a team that can go far with the right schedule. Currently, the right schedule includes facing teams like the Detroit Tigers.
Getting the start on the mound tonight is Hunter Brown, who has a 1-0 record. Brown is pretty green, having only pitched six innings, so there isn’t much to go on.
However, with the batting lineup behind him, he has a lot of pressure taken off. Still, a green pitcher on the mound could spell trouble for the Astros. They might have to pull him early if things get out of hand.
Detroit Tigers: Heavy underdogs could shock everyone today
Coming in as +190 underdogs, the Detroit Tigers might pull off an upset. They have a favorable matchup in Hunter Brown, who is on the mound for the Astros.
The thing is, they have to capitalize on it. If they can’t, the Tigers will fall to a 54-88 record and stay at the bottom of the AL Central. So, how can they take advantage of Brown being on the mound for Houston?
This starts with getting runners on base, which they’ve done before. Not long ago, the Tigers earned a 10-2 win over the Kansas City Royals. If they can take what they did in that game and apply it here, they’ll be set.
As a team, the Tigers have a batting average of .230, which isn’t great, but they do have Javier Baez. Baez has 12 home runs with 55 RBIs this season.
Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers Betting Pick
We know that several bettors will take the Houston Astros tonight. However, we’re going to go out of the box and take the Detroit Tigers at +190. The Tigers have proven they can win tough games, and they have the advantage on the mound.
Getting the start for the Tigers today is Drew Hutchison, who has pitched 86 innings this year. With an ERA of 4.08, Hutchinson can lead the Tigers to a win at home tonight. It might sound like a long shot, but we like the Tigers at home to pull off the upset.
DunkelIndex Free Pick: Detroit Tigers +190, UNDER
Prop Picks
Houston (+110) UNDER 4.5 Runs
Detroit is allowing 4.47 runs per 9 innings on defense, which ranks No. 20 in MLB. That average decreases slightly to 4.42 runs per 9 innings at home. Scores have gone UNDER in 10 of the Tigers’ last 16 home games.
With Dunkel predicting a Detroit win by the score of 4-3, take the Astros (+110) to finish UNDER their Vegas team total of 4.5 runs against the Tigers.
Hunter Brown (+110) UNDER 4.5 Hits Allowed
Detroit is averaging 7.62 hits per 9 innings on offense, which ranks No. 27 in MLB. Houston is allowing 6.96 hits per 9 innings on defense, which ranks No. 2 in MLB. That average remains relatively steady at 7.06 hits per 9 innings on the road.
With Dunkel predicting the final score staying UNDER the Vegas run total, take Brown (+100) to finish UNDER 4.5 hits allowed versus the Tigers.
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