Hawaii vs. Cal Poly Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 15

The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (12-3, 4-1 Big West) visit the Cal Poly Mustangs (7-11, 3-3 Big West) at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center, beginning at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 15, 2026. The Mustangs are 6.5-point underdogs in the game. The over/under in the matchup is set at 153.5.

In its last time out, Hawaii won on Sunday 67-66 over UC Irvine. Isaac Johnson scored a team-high 15 points for Hawaii in the win. Cal Poly's last contest on Saturday ended in an 84-78 win against UC Davis. Hamad Mousa totaled 24 points, 10 rebounds and three assists for Cal Poly.

Hawaii vs. Cal Poly Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, January 15, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Robert A. Mott Athletics Center in San Luis Obispo, California
• Spread favorite: Hawaii -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: Hawaii -315
• Moneyline underdog: Cal Poly +253
• Over/Under: 153.5 points

How to watch Hawaii vs. Cal Poly

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Hawaii vs. Cal Poly

• Hawaii and its opponents have combined to outscore Thursday's over/under of 153.5 points three times this season.
• A total of 12 of Cal Poly's games have finished with a combined score over 153.5 points this season.
• The total for the contest of 153.5 is 7.4 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Rainbow Warriors (79.5) and Mustangs (81.4).
• This game's point total is 4.8 fewer points than the 148.7 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• This season the average over/under for Hawaii's games is 142.9 points, 10.6 lower than the over/under of 153.5 points set for this contest.
• Cal Poly's games have an average over/under of 166.7 points this season, 13.2 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Hawaii vs. Cal Poly

• In Hawaii's 13 games this season, it has five wins against the spread.
• This season, the Rainbow Warriors have an against-the-spread record of 4-5 in their nine games as a favorite of 6.5 points or more.
• Cal Poly is 8-8-0 against the spread this season.
• The Mustangs are 6-2 ATS when underdogs by 6.5 points or more this season.
• Cal Poly has two wins against the spread, and is 2-3 overall, at home this year.
• Away from home, Hawaii has two wins against the spread and are 1-2 overall.
• On the road, Hawaii is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 6.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Hawaii vs. Cal Poly

• Hawaii has entered the game as moneyline favorites 10 times this season and won nine of those games.
• The Rainbow Warriors have been at least a -315 moneyline favorite eight times this season and won each of those games.
• The implied probability of a win from Hawaii, based on the moneyline, is 75.9%.
• Cal Poly has been a moneyline underdog in 14 games this season and has come away with the win five times (35.7%) in those contests.
• This season, the Mustangs have come away with a win three time in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +253 or worse on the moneyline.
• Cal Poly has an implied victory probability of 28.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.