Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks Game 3 Betting Preview/Prop Picks

It's time for Game 3 between the Golden State Warriors and the Dallas Mavericks. The Warriors have gotten off to a surprising 2-0 lead in this series.

Their incredible offense has been the force behind their quick start. More importantly, they've found a way to shut down Luka Doncic. Tonight, they'll have to travel to Dallas to face the Mavericks on the road. 

The Dallas Mavericks are returning home down 0-2 in the series. Their defense was a driving force behind their wins earlier in the playoffs. Unfortunately for them, their defense has taken a step back against the Warriors.

Still, even though they're down two games in the series, they come in as the favorites tonight. Let's take a look at each team and see who's the best bet.

Golden State Warriors: Warriors could have trouble on the road

Playing the Mavericks in their home stadium could be tough for the Warriors. Through the series, they've averaged 119 points per game. The question is, can they continue this offensive prowess on the road in Game 3?

The Mavericks' defense is one of the best in the NBA, but the Warriors have found a way around it. So, can they keep the momentum going on the road?

Throughout the regular season, the Warriors went 22-19 on the road. This record is only slightly over the .500 mark, so keep that in mind. They're also the underdogs in this game, but only by three points.

With Gary Payton II out and Andrew Wiggins a game-time decision, the Warriors are at a disadvantage. Now, let's take a look at what the Dallas Mavericks bring to the game.

Dallas Mavericks: Dallas needs a quick start against Golden State

The most important thing for the Mavericks tonight is getting a fast start. In Game 2, the Mavericks scored 117 points, 42 of which were scored by Doncic.

Although Doncic had an incredible game, the Mavericks still lost by nine points. Dallas will need more from their bench players, but at least their on the right track. Especially since Jalen Brunson scored 31 points.

If the Mavericks can slow down the Warriors' offense, they could easily win this game. When they faced the Phoenix Suns, they limited the Suns to just 104.4 points per game.

Through the first two games of the series, they've allowed the Warriors to average 119 points per game. At home, the Mavericks should have a much better defensive showing.

Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick

One big factor here is the fact that the Mavericks are playing at home. They had a much better offensive game in Game 2 of the series as well. With the need to only cover three points, the Mavericks should be able to pull off a win tonight.

To go along with our Mavericks -3 pick, we'll tag on the under as well. Through the Mavericks' last seven games, the total has gone under five times. It's also important to note that the Mavericks are 5-0 against the spread in their last five games at home.

DunkelIndex Free Pick: Dallas Mavericks -3, UNDER

Prop Picks

Golden State (-115) UNDER 108.5 Points

Dallas is allowing 104.7 points per game on defense, which ranks No. 2 in the league. That average decreases to 101.0 points per game at home. Scores have gone UNDER in 19 of the Mavericks’ last 26 games as a home favorite.

With Dunkel predicting a Dallas home victory by the score of 110-104, take the Warriors (-115) to finish UNDER their Vegas team total of 108.5 points against the Mavericks.

Luka Doncic (-110) OVER 33.5 Points

Doncic averaged 28.4 points per game in 65 games during the regular season, which ranked No. 1 on the Mavericks and No. 3 in the league. That average increases to 28.8 points per game in Dallas wins and 31.4 points per game in the postseason.  

With Dunkel predicting a Dallas win, take Doncic (-110) to finish OVER his Vegas point total of 33.5 points against Golden State.

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