Warriors vs. Heat Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Jan. 19

The Miami Heat (22-20) will attempt to break a three-game road slide when squaring off against the Golden State Warriors (24-19) on January 19, 2026 at Chase Center.

The Warriors face the Heat in a game that Golden State is currently a favorite by 5.5 points. The matchup's point total is 239.5.

Warriors vs. Heat Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Monday, January 19, 2026
• Game time: 10 p.m. ET
• Location: San Francisco, California
• Arena: Chase Center
• Total: 239.5 points
• Spread: Warriors -5.5
• Moneyline: Warriors (-215), Heat (+180)

How to watch Warriors vs. Heat

• TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Sun
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Warriors vs. Heat

• The Warriors and their opponents have gone over 239.5 combined points in 13 of 43 games this season.
• The Heat have played 19 games this season that ended with a combined score over 239.5 points.
• The teams combine to score 235.7 points per game, 3.8 fewer points than this matchup's over/under.
• These teams allow 231.2 points per game combined, 8.3 points fewer than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Warriors vs. Heat

• Golden State has put together a 20-22-1 record against the spread this season.
• The Warriors are 12-7-1 ATS this season when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
• The Heat are 24-17-1 ATS this season.
• Miami has covered the spread seven times this season (7-4-1 ATS) when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.
• The Warriors are 12-9-1 against the spread, and 16-6 overall, at home.
• At home, as a 5.5-point favorite or greater, Golden State is 10-5-1 ATS.
• In away games, the Heat are 7-13 overall and 11-8-1 against the spread.
• Away from home, Miami has one win ATS (1-1) as 5.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Warriors vs. Heat

• The Warriors have gone 20-12 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 62.5% of those games).
• This season, the Heat have won 11 out of the 24 games, or 45.8%, in which they've been the underdog.
• Golden State has gone 17-3 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -215 or shorter (winning 85%).
• Miami has a record of 3-8, a 27.3% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +180 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The Warriors have an implied moneyline win probability of 68.3% in this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Warriors vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 5.5)
• Pick OU: Under (239.5)
  
• Prediction: Heat 118 - Warriors 117
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!