Warriors vs. Mavericks Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Jan. 22

The Dallas Mavericks (18-26) will try to continue a three-game winning run when hosting the Golden State Warriors (25-20) on January 22, 2026 at American Airlines Center.

The Warriors are currently 5.5-point favorites over the Mavericks. The matchup's over/under is 234.5.

Warriors vs. Mavericks Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Thursday, January 22, 2026
• Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Dallas, Texas
• Arena: American Airlines Center
• Total: 234.5 points
• Spread: Warriors -5.5
• Moneyline: Warriors (-210), Mavericks (+176)

How to watch Warriors vs. Mavericks

• TV Channel: Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA

Betting the Over/Under: Warriors vs. Mavericks

• The Warriors' 45 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 234.5 points 21 times.
• The Mavericks have played 14 games this season that ended with a point total over 234.5 points.
• These teams rack up a combined 231.1 points per game, 3.4 fewer points than this matchup's total.
• Combined, these teams surrender 230.6 points per game, 3.9 fewer points than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Warriors vs. Mavericks

• Golden State is 21-23-1 ATS this season.
• The Warriors have an ATS record of 12-7-1 when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites this season.
• The Mavericks have compiled a 19-24-1 record against the spread this year.
• Dallas has covered the spread 11 times this season (11-5 ATS) when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.
• The Mavericks are 13-10-1 against the spread, and 13-11 overall, at home.
• At home, Dallas is winless ATS (0-3-1) as a 5.5-point underdog or more.
• In away games, the Warriors are 8-13 overall and 8-13 against the spread.
• Golden State has two wins ATS (2-2) on the road as 5.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Warriors vs. Mavericks

• The Warriors have won 61.8% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (21-13).
• This season, the Mavericks have been the underdog 27 times and won 10, or 37%, of those games.
• Golden State has a record of 17-3 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -210 or shorter (winning 85%).
• Dallas has a record of 7-9, a 43.8% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +176 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Warriors' implied win probability is 67.7%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Warriors vs. Mavericks

• Pick ATS: Mavericks (+ 5.5)
• Pick OU: Under (234.5)
  
• Prediction: Warriors 117 - Mavericks 116
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!