Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview/Prop Picks

It's time for Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals, and the Warriors lead it 3-0. With such a large lead, many think the Warriors will pull off the sweep here. Their offense has performed at its best, and the defense has been impressive as well.

The question is, can the Warriors pull off a win over the Mavericks and send them home? Or, could the Mavericks pull out a win today?

Dallas needs to get its offense going quickly against the Warriors today. If they don't, they could find themselves falling too far behind early in the game. Their defense also needs to perform much better than it has to start the series.

They're playing at home, which should give them something to fight for. However, it didn't help them very much in Game 3 of the series.

Golden State Warriors: Close to closing the series

A win here means a direct ticket to the NBA Finals for the Warriors. Through this series, they've shown that they're more than just a great offense. They've allowed just 101.33 points per game, an impressive feat by an "offensive" team.

Meanwhile, they've averaged 115.66 points per game and have put the Mavericks behind 3-0. So, what do they need to do to win this game tonight?

It starts with offensive consistency. If they can average around the same amount as we noted above, they'll win this game. The Mavericks can't keep up with the Warriors' offense; that much is apparent.

In Game 3, Andrew Wiggins put up 27 points on his own, with Stephen Curry scoring 31. Although Luka Doncic had a 40-point game, it didn't help the Mavericks in the end.

Dallas Mavericks: Back against the wall, what can they do?

At this point, the Mavericks need to be better than the Warriors on offense. It sounds like a tall task, but that's exactly what is needed. They come in as the favorite tonight, but only by a point.

Since they won't need to cover much, it's not a bad bet. However, to win the game, they need more from their starters. Sure, Doncic scored 40, but Reggie Bullock went 0-10 in Game 3.

That kind of effort and output should earn you a spot on the bench. Bullock played 40 minutes and missed every single shot he took. Seven of the ten shots were from beyond the arc.

Starting Power Forward, Dorian Finney-Smith shot three for seven and scored just 9 points in 42 minutes. If the Mavericks want to win, HC Jason Kidd needs to put pressure on his starters.

Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick

There is one reason we'll take the Dallas Mavericks to win this game, Luka Doncic. We think he'll be able to rally his teammates and at least secure one win at home. Spencer Dinwiddie has also been a big help to Doncic in this series. 

Along with the Mavericks -1, we'll take the under in this game as well. The total has gone under in six of the Mavericks' last eight games. The total is also set at 216, making the under the most likely outcome.

DunkelIndex Free Pick: Dallas Mavericks -1, UNDER

Prop Picks

Golden State (-110) UNDER 107.5 Points

Dallas is allowing 104.7 points per game on defense, which ranks No. 2 in the league. That average decreases to 101.1 points per game at home. Scores have gone UNDER in six of the Mavericks’ last eight games overall.

With Dunkel predicting a Dallas home victory by the score of 109-104, take the Warriors (-110) to finish UNDER their Vegas team total of 107.5 points against the Mavericks.

Draymond Green (-105) UNDER 7.5 Points

Green averaged 7.5 points per game in 46 games during the regular season, which ranked No. 7 on the Warriors. That averaged decreased to 5.7 points per game in Golden State losses.

With Dunkel predicting a Dallas win while holding the Warriors UNDER their Vegas team point total, take Green (-105) to finish UNDER his Vegas point total of 7.5 points against the Mavs.

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