Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 23

The Vegas Golden Knights and Toronto Maple Leafs -- both coming off defeats in their last game -- will play on Friday at 7 p.m. ET, at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. The sportsbooks have made the Golden Knights solid favorites at -120 on the moneyline, despite being away from home, and the Maple Leafs are at +100.

Vegas lost 4-3 on the road in its last game on Jan. 22 against the Boston Bruins. Jack Eichel's two points (one goal and one assist) led the Golden Knights.

Toronto lost 2-1 in overtime at home against the Detroit Red Wings in its most recent game on Jan. 21. Three Maple Leafs skaters recorded one point each in that matchup, including Steven Lorentz (one assist) and Calle Jarnkrok (one assist).

Here is our prediction for who will clinch the win in Friday's game.

Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Vegas Golden Knights and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Golden Knights 4 - Maple Leafs 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.95 goals)
  

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Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Snag a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Golden Knights-Maple Leafs matchup.

• Favorite: Golden Knights (-120)
• Underdog: Maple Leafs (+100)

Golden Knights Betting Insights

• The Golden Knights are 21-21 when listed as a moneyline favorite this season.
• Vegas is 20-18 in games it has played with moneyline odds of -120 or shorter (52.6% win percentage).
• The Golden Knights have a 54.5% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this contest.
• Vegas' 49 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 6.5 goals 25 times.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• The Maple Leafs have been listed as an underdog 22 times this season, and won 10, or 45.5%, of those games.
• Toronto has a record of 9-11, a 45.0% win rate, when it's been set as an underdog of +100 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 50.0% chance of victory for the Maple Leafs.
• Toronto has played 29 games this season with more than 6.5 goals.

Golden Knights Key Stats

• Vegas' 163 total goals (3.3 per game) make it the 12th-ranked scoring team in the NHL.
• Defensively, the Golden Knights are one of the stingiest squads in NHL action, giving up 146 total goals (3.0 per game) to rank ninth.
• Its goal differential (+17) makes the team eighth-best in the league.
• The 40 power-play goals the Golden Knights have scored this season are fifth-best in the NHL (on 151 power-play chances).
• Vegas ranks fourth in the league with a 26.49% power-play conversion rate.
• The one shorthanded goal the Golden Knights have scored this season rank 28th among NHL teams.
• Vegas kills 81.03% of opponent power plays, the 11th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Vegas wins 50.7% of its faceoffs (13th in NHL).
• The Golden Knights make 11.5% of their shots (eighth in the league).

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• Toronto's 166 goals on the season (3.3 per game) rank seventh in the league.
• The Maple Leafs have conceded 165 total goals this season (3.3 per game), 25th in the NHL.
• Its +1 goal differential ranks 16th in the league.
• With 21 power-play goals (on 124 chances), the Maple Leafs are 32nd in the NHL.
• Toronto scores on 16.94% of its power plays, No. 24 in the league.
• In terms of shorthanded goals, the Maple Leafs have three.
• Toronto's has the fifth-best penalty-kill percentage (83.33%).
• Toronto wins 56.4% of faceoffs, No. 1 in the NHL.
• With a shooting percentage of 12.3%, the Maple Leafs are fourth in the league.