Florida State Seminoles at Duke Blue Devils Betting Preview/Prop Pick

Florida State was able to finally capture a win after six straight losses when they beat Clemson. It was undoubtedly an ugly stretch of losses, and now they face the No.9 team in college basketball.

Taking on the Duke Blue Devils is going to be a large task for the Seminoles, especially on the road. They're heavy underdogs, and we all wonder whether they can cover.

The Duke Blue Devils have had quite the year, currently 22-4. They have a 12-3 record in the conference and currently sit atop the ACC. Ranked at the No.9 spot in college basketball, the Blue Devils need to keep stringing wins together.

Although they have a great season record, they haven't been spectacular against the spread. Should you trust the Blue Devils tonight?

Florida State Seminoles: The Seminoles face a tough opponent

Florida State's recent 81-80 win over Clemson might've boosted their confidence. Unfortunately, that confidence is about to be put to the test as they face Duke.

The main problem with Florida State is they lack a strong scorer. The player leading the team in points per game is Caleb Mills, who averages just 12.7 points per game. This kind of offense won't do well against Duke today.

Perhaps even worse than the Seminoles' offense is their lackluster defense. On average, the Seminoles allow 70.64 points per game, ranking 230 in college basketball.

Duke's offense is going to try and spread out this defense and capitalize from beyond the arc. If Florida State doesn't have an answer, this game could get ugly, especially if Paolo Banchero gets going.

Duke Blue Devils: A healthy Duke team is a scary one

With the chances of Caleb Mills suiting up for the Seminoles diminishing, Duke's in a good position. The Blue Devils have reported no injuries heading into the game, giving them another advantage.

Even if the Seminoles were fully healthy, they'd have a hard time stopping players like Paolo Banchero. Banchero leads the Blue Devils in points per game, averaging 16.9. 

The good thing about Duke is they don't have to rely on just one person to do the scoring. As a team, they rank 21st in the nation in points per game with 79.77.

Their defense is even more impressive, allowing an average of just 65.12 points per game. With a strong offensive and defensive front, winning should be no problem. The question is, can they cover the spread?

Our pick for the Florida State Seminoles at Duke Blue Devils

Clearly, Duke is the much better team here, on both sides of the ball. The Blue Devils have had an impressive season and have an 8-2 record over FSU in their last ten games.

However, the spread in this game has Duke as a 15-point favorite. This is a lot of points, and Duke has been slightly better than average against the spread. 

That being said, we'll have to take the Florida State Seminoles in this game. Over their last ten meetings with the Blue Devils, they've gone 7-3 ATS.

Duke usually wins the games, but Florida State covers more often. Take the under in this game as well, especially if Caleb Mills is ruled out.
 
DunkelIndex Free Pick: Florida State Seminoles +15, UNDER

Prop Pick

Duke (-115) UNDER 79.5 Points

Florida State is allowing 70.6 points per game on defense. Scores have gone UNDER in eight of Duke’s last 12 games versus teams with a winning record (Florida State is 14-11 SU).

With Dunkel predicting a Duke victory by the score of 69-65, take the Blue Devils (-115) to finish UNDER their Vegas team total of 79.5 points against the Seminoles.

Be sure to check out all of our NCAAB picks!