Florida vs. Ole Miss Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 21

The No. 12 Florida Gators (20-6, 11-2 SEC) are favorites, by 12.5 points, over the Ole Miss Rebels (11-15, 3-10 SEC) on February 21, 2026 at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss. The Gators have won six in a row, and are 9-1 in their past 10 games, while the Rebels have lost eight straight, and have gone 2-8 in their past 10. The matchup has a point total of 146.5.

Florida won its most recent game 76-62 against South Carolina on Tuesday. In the victory, Alex Condon led Florida with 20 points. Ole Miss enters this game on the heels of an 80-77 loss to Texas A&M on Wednesday. AJ Storr scored 21 points in Ole Miss' loss, leading the team.

Florida vs. Ole Miss Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 12 p.m. ET
• Where: The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss in Oxford, Mississippi
• Spread favorite: Florida -12.5
• Moneyline favorite: Florida -952
• Moneyline underdog: Ole Miss +625
• Over/Under: 146.5 points

How to watch Florida vs. Ole Miss

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Florida vs. Ole Miss

• Florida and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (146.5 points) 20 times this season.
• This season, 11 of Ole Miss' games have ended with a combined score higher than 146.5 points.
• The total for the contest of 146.5 is 13.8 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Gators (86.1 points per game) and the Rebels (74.2 points per game).
• The 145 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 1.5 fewer than the 146.5 over/under in this contest.
• This season, the average over/under for Florida's games is 157.2 points, 10.7 more than the total of 146.5 points set for this contest.
• A difference of 1.6 points separates the average over/under in Ole Miss' games (148.1 points) and this matchup's over/under (146.5).

Betting the Spread: Florida vs. Ole Miss

• Florida has 14 wins against the spread in 26 games this year.
• So far this season, the Gators have been installed as favorites by a 12.5-point margin or more 11 times and are 3-8 ATS in those games.
• Against the spread, Ole Miss is 9-17-0 this year.
• The Rebels have been underdogs by 12.5 points or more two times this season and covered the spread once.
• Ole Miss is 7-5 overall, and 3-9 against the spread, at home.
• Ole Miss has two wins ATS (2-3) as a 12.5-point underdog or greater at home.
• Florida is 6-1 against the spread, and 5-2 overall, on the road.
• Florida is unbeaten ATS (1-0) on the road as 12.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Florida vs. Ole Miss

• This season, Florida has won 18 out of the 22 games, or 81.8%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Gators are undefeated in nine games this season when favored by -952 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 90.5% chance of a victory for Florida.
• Ole Miss has come away with two wins in the 14 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Rebels have been listed as an underdog of +625 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Ole Miss has a 13.8% chance of walking away with the win.