Florida vs. Kentucky Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 14

The No. 14 Florida Gators (18-6, 9-2 SEC) are favored, by 11.5 points, versus the No. 25 Kentucky Wildcats (17-7, 8-3 SEC) on February 14, 2026 at Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center. The Gators have won four in a row, and are 9-1 in their past 10 games, while the Wildcats have won three straight, and have gone 8-2 in their past 10. The matchup has an over/under of 152.5 points.

Florida heads into this matchup following an 86-66 victory over Georgia on Wednesday. Xaivian Lee scored a team-best 18 points for Florida in the win. Kentucky took care of business in its most recent game 74-71 against Tennessee on Saturday. Otega Oweh totaled 21 points, four rebounds and two assists for Kentucky.

Florida vs. Kentucky Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 14, 2026 at 3 p.m. ET
• Where: Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center in Gainesville, Florida
• Spread favorite: Florida -11.5
• Moneyline favorite: Florida -813
• Moneyline underdog: Kentucky +533
• Over/Under: 152.5 points

How to watch Florida vs. Kentucky

• TV Channel: ABC
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Florida vs. Kentucky

• This season, Florida's games have seen a combined score higher than this game's 152.5-point over/under 13 times.
• This season, 12 games Kentucky has played finished with a combined score over 152.5 points.
• The point total for the matchup of 152.5 is 15.4 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Gators (86.3) and Wildcats (81.6).
• The 142.3 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 10.2 fewer than the 152.5 total in this contest.
• This season, the average over/under for Florida's games is 157.2 points, 4.7 more than the total of 152.5 points set for this contest.
• Kentucky's games have an average over/under of 152.9 points this season, 0.4 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: Florida vs. Kentucky

• Against the spread, Florida is 14-10-0 this season.
• The Gators have an against the spread record of 4-8 in their 12 games as a favorite of 11.5 points or more so far this season.
• Against the spread, Kentucky is 11-13-0 this year.
• At home this year, Florida is 5-6 against the spread and 10-1 overall.
• Florida has two wins ATS (2-6) as a 11.5-point favorite or more at home.
• Kentucky is 3-3 overall, with two wins against the spread, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Florida vs. Kentucky

• This season, Florida has been moneyline favorites 20 times and won 16, or 80%, of those games.
• The Gators have entered seven games this season favored by -813 or more, and won each of those games.
• Florida has a 89% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Kentucky has come away with two wins in the six contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Wildcats have yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +533.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Kentucky has a 15.8% chance of walking away with the win.