Florida Gators at Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview/Prop Picks
24 September 2022
Time: 3:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 93.938; Tennessee 99.752
Dunkel Line & Total: Tennessee by 6; 68
Vegas Line & Total: Tennessee by 10; 63
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+10); Over
SEC rivals meet up on Saturday afternoon when the Tennessee Volunteers host the Florida Gators in a highly-anticipated matchup. Florida has won the last five games in this rivalry, but it is Tennessee that comes into this matchup with the higher ranking.
Florida is off to a 2-1 start in 2022, with the only loss coming to the University of Kentucky. The Gators can still bounce back and win the SEC, but it is going to take an impressive road win over Tennessee to get that done.
Tennessee is off to a 3-0 start, and they have been blowing teams out every single week. The Volunteers have been trending in the right direction in recent years, and now is the time for them to become a title contender again.
The Tennessee Volunteers are 10-point betting favorites over the Florida Gators in this SEC showdown.
Florida Needs to Defend
Florida might be 2-1 on the year, but their defense has created some issues all season long, and that simply has to change. The Gators are allowing over 26 points per game, and that unit is going to be tested in a big way on Saturday.
Stopping the run has been the biggest issue for Florida, as they are allowing nearly 200 rushing yards per game. Florida has been able to counter that by rushing for 212 yards per game, but that strategy isn’t going to work in this one.
Quarterback Anthony Richardson is still looking for his first touchdown pass of the season, but he has thrown four interceptions. Florida lets Richardson go out and make plays, but he has to make better decisions in this one.
Tennessee Can Be Explosive
Tennessee has been one of the best offensive teams in the country this season, as they are averaging 52 points per game. The Volunteers have been hitting on some big pass plays through the first three weeks, and they will look to use the same formula in this one.
Quarterback Hendon Hooker has thrown for 844 yards and six touchdowns to begin the season, but he will be facing a talented secondary in this matchup. Tennessee is going to take shots down the field, but they will also need to run the football effectively.
The Volunteers have a ton of weapons on the offensive side of the ball, and they should be able to have a big day on offense as long as they are able to take care of it.
Gators Battle, Volunteers Win
This rivalry has been dominated by Florida in recent seasons, and Tennessee would love nothing more than to flip the script in this one. Tennessee is coming into this game with the better overall team, and playing at home is going to give them a big advantage.
Tennessee is not going to be able to put up over 50 points on the Florida defense, but it will be the offense of the Volunteers that takes control of this game. Florida just hasn’t showed that it will be able to win games in a shootout fashion, and that is going to create a problem late in this matchup.
Take the 10 points and bet on the Florida Gators, but it’s going to be Tennessee that comes away with a big win over their rivals on Saturday.
Prop Picks
Tennessee (-130) OVER 36.5 Points
Tennessee averaged 37.9 points per game on offense last season, which ranked No. 7 in the FBS. That average has increased to 52.0 points per game so far this season.
With Dunkel predicting a Volunteers win by the score of 37-31, take Tennessee (-130) to finish OVER their Vegas team total of 36.5 points against the Gators.
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All Media on this page by Associated Press.
