Fire vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - June 5

The Portland Fire (6-5) take the court against the Phoenix Mercury (3-8) at 10 p.m. ET on Friday, June 5, 2026 on ION.

Portland fell to Golden State 95-77 in its last game. Megan Gustafson led the way with 13 points and eight rebounds, followed by Emily Engstler with 12 points, eight rebounds and two blocks.

In its most recent game, Phoenix won on the road over Seattle, 72-68. Its top scorers were Natasha Mack (16 PTS, 10 REB, 3 BLK, 100 FG%) and Kahleah Copper (16 PTS, 28.6 FG%, 2-6 from 3PT).

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Fire vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Snag a peek below at the most recent betting lines for the Fire-Mercury matchup.

• Favorite: Fire (-2.5)
• Total: 161.5
• Fire Moneyline: -138
• Mercury Moneyline: +112

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Fire Betting Insights

• Based on this game's moneyline, the Fire have an implied win probability of 58.0%.
• Portland has been a moneyline favorite just two other times so far this season, and won both of the games.
• The Fire have covered five times in 11 matchups with a spread this season.
• In eight of 11 games this season, Portland and its opponents have combined to score more than 161.5 points.
• Fire contests this year have an average point total of 170.8, 9.3 more points than this game's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mercury have a 47.2% chance to win.
• This season, Phoenix has won one out of the six games in which it has been the underdog.
• The Mercury are 3-8-0 ATS this season.
• Phoenix's games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 161.5 points in eight of 11 outings.
• The Mercury have a 167.8-point average over/under in their outings this season, 6.3 more points than this game's total.

Key Stats for Fire vs. Mercury

• Portland scores 83 points per game, only 3.1 fewer points than the 86.1 Phoenix allows.
• The Fire are 3-0 when scoring more than 86.1 points.
• Portland has scored at a higher clip in home games than on the road in the 2026 season (83.3 points per game at home versus 82.5 on the road), and has also surrendered more points in home games than in road games (86.7 per home game versus 84.8 on the road).
• Phoenix puts up an average of 82 points per game, only four fewer points than the 86 Portland gives up to opponents.
• The Mercury have gone 2-2 when they've scored more than 86 points.
• At home Phoenix puts up 86 points per game, 7.3 more than away (78.7). On defense, it gives up 95.4 points per game at home, 17.1 more than away (78.3).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.