FCS Picks/Week 5
01 October 2021

The undefeated Dartmouth Big Green head to Penn tonight to take on the Quakers in an Ivy League clash. Game time is 7:00 pm ET at Franklin Field.
The Big Green (2-0) opened the season with a 28-18 win over Valparaiso and followed that up last week with a 41-3 trouncing of Sacred Heart behind RB Nick Howard’s 154 yards rushing and 2 TDs.
The Quakers (1-1) dominated their opener on the road at Bucknell in a 30-6 victory, but struggled last week at Lafayette, 24-14, as the offense produced only 255 yards and committed 3 turnovers.
This will be the conference opener for both teams and Dunkel has Dartmouth pulling out the victory but failing to cover the Vegas line of 7. Defenses should dominate, keeping the final score under the Vegas total of 45 ½.
Dunkel’s Pick: Penn (+7); Under
Below are all of Dunkel’s picks for Week 5 of the FCS schedule:
SEPTEMBER 30
AR-Pine Bluff at Prairie View
Time: 7:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: AR-Pine Bluff 49.458; Prairie View 46.421
Dunkel Line & Total: AR-Pine Bluff by 3; 69
Vegas Line & Total: Prairie View by 7; 57 ½
Dunkel Pick: AR-Pine Bluff (+7); Over
OCTOBER 1
Dartmouth at Pennsylvania
Time: 7:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Dartmouth 59.995; Pennsylvania 56.311
Dunkel Line & Total: Dartmouth by 3 ½; 41
Vegas Line & Total: Dartmouth by 7; 45 ½
Dunkel Pick: Pennsylvania (+7); Under
OCTOBER 2
Stony Brook at Rhode Island
Time: 12:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Stony Brook 51.517; Rhode Island 64.390
Dunkel Line & Total: Rhode Island by 13; 56
Vegas Line & Total: Rhode Island by 10; 51 ½
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (-10); Over
St. Francis-PA at Morgan State
Time: 12:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: St. Francis-PA 43.643; Morgan State 43.077
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Francis-PA by 1; 49
Vegas Line & Total: St. Francis-PA by 9 ½
Dunkel Pick: Morgan State (+9 ½); Over
Drake at Butler
Time: 12:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 31.370; Butler 26.810
Dunkel Line & Total: Drake by 4 ½; 44
Vegas Line & Total: Drake by 8 ½; 51 ½
Dunkel Pick: Butler (+8 ½); Under
Yale at Lehigh
Time: 12:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 60.177; Lehigh 31.087
Dunkel Line & Total: Yale by 29; 33
Vegas Line & Total: Yale by 20; 39 ½
Dunkel Pick: Yale (-20); Under
Gardner Webb at Monmouth
Time: 1:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Gardner Webb 53.630; Monmouth 51.934
Dunkel Line & Total: Gardner Webb by 1 ½; 59
Vegas Line & Total: Monmouth by 4 ½; 63 ½
Dunkel Pick: Gardner Webb (+4 ½); Under
Columbia at Princeton
Time: 1:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Columbia 42.479; Princeton 69.740
Dunkel Line & Total: Princeton by 27 ½; 54
Vegas Line & Total: Princeton by 19 ½; 51 ½
Dunkel Pick: Princeton (-19 ½); Over
Robert Morris at NC A&T
Time: 1:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Robert Morris 37.444; NC A&T 63.775
Dunkel Line & Total: NC A&T by 26 ½; 42
Vegas Line & Total: NC A&T by 19 ½; 47 ½
Dunkel Pick: NC A&T (-19 ½); Under
Marist at Valparaiso
Time: 1:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 33.433; Valparaiso 34.986
Dunkel Line & Total: Valparaiso by 1 ½; 46
Vegas Line & Total: Valparaiso by 7; 48 ½
Dunkel Pick: Marist (+7); Under
SE Louisiana at McNeese State
Time: 1:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: SE Louisiana 72.737; McNeese State 55.559
Dunkel Line & Total: SE Louisiana by 17; 59
Vegas Line & Total: SE Louisiana by 11 ½; 64 ½
Dunkel Pick: SE Louisiana (-11 ½); Under
Duquesne at Merrimack
Time: 1:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 52.102; Merrimack 55.923
Dunkel Line & Total: Merrimack by 4; 51
Vegas Line & Total: Merrimack by 2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Merrimack (-2); Under
Sacred Heart at Howard
Time: 1:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Sacred Heart 38.298; Howard 37.307
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacred Heart by 1; 34
Vegas Line & Total: Sacred Heart by 4; 41 ½
Dunkel Pick: Howard (+4); Under
Davidson at Stetson
Time: 1:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 45.351; Stetson 19.935
Dunkel Line & Total: Davidson by 25 ½; 52
Vegas Line & Total: Davidson by 10; 61 ½
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (-10); Under
Bethune Cookman at South Carolina State
Time: 1:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Bethune Cookman 42.237; South Carolina State 52.908
Dunkel Line & Total: South Carolina State by 10 ½; 61
Vegas Line & Total: South Carolina State by 7 ½; 66 ½
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina State (-7 ½); Under
Harvard at Holy Cross
Time: 1:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Harvard 70.247; Holy Cross 62.204
Dunkel Line & Total: Harvard by 8; 50
Vegas Line & Total: Harvard by 3 ½; 52 ½
Dunkel Pick: Harvard (-3 ½); Under
Western Carolina at Chattanooga
Time: 1:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 45.269; Chattanooga 62.560
Dunkel Line & Total: Chattanooga by 17 ½; 60
Vegas Line & Total: Chattanooga by 21 ½; 57 ½
Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (+21 ½); Over
Norfolk State at Hampton
Time: 2:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Norfolk State 47.544; Hampton 42.902
Dunkel Line & Total: Norfolk State by 4 ½; 58
Vegas Line & Total: Norfolk State by 8; 66 ½
Dunkel Pick: Hampton (+8); Under
Elon at Richmond
Time: 2:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 52.335; Richmond 69.094
Dunkel Line & Total: Richmond by 17; 53
Vegas Line & Total: Richmond by 12 ½; 51 ½
Dunkel Pick: Richmond (-12 ½); Over
Missouri State at Illinois State
Time: 2:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 65.794; Illinois State 65.956
Dunkel Line & Total: Illinois State by ½; 45
Vegas Line & Total: Missouri State by 6 ½; 47 ½
Dunkel Pick: Illinois State (+6 ½); Under
Colgate at Georgetown
Time: 2:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Colgate 37.813; Georgetown 41.648
Dunkel Line & Total: Georgetown by 4; 46
Vegas Line & Total: Pick; 40 ½
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown; Over
Dayton at Morehead State
Time: 2:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 47.220; Morehead State 34.798
Dunkel Line & Total: Dayton by 12 ½; 70
Vegas Line & Total: Dayton by 2 ½; 73 ½
Dunkel Pick: Dayton (-2 ½); Under
VMI at The Citadel
Time: 2:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: VMI 59.515; The Citadel 51.498
Dunkel Line & Total: VMI by 8; 56
Vegas Line & Total: The Citadel by 1 ½; 63 ½
Dunkel Pick: VMI (+1 ½); Under
SE Missouri State at Tennessee Tech
Time: 2:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 52.460; Tennessee Tech 43.887
Dunkel Line & Total: SE Missouri State by 8 ½; 46
Vegas Line & Total: SE Missouri State by 14 ½; 56 ½
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (+14 ½); Under
Tarleton State at Eastern Kentucky
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Tarleton State 56.347; Eastern Kentucky 60.248
Dunkel Line & Total: Eastern Kentucky by 4; 54
Vegas Line & Total: Eastern Kentucky by 9 ½; 50 ½
Dunkel Pick: Tarleton State (+9 ½); Over
Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 61.046; Kennesaw State 68.235
Dunkel Line & Total: Kennesaw State by 7; 49
Vegas Line & Total: Kennesaw State by 2 ½; 52 ½
Dunkel Pick: Kennesaw State (-2 ½); Under
Northern Colorado at Montana State
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 56.716; Montana State 79.526
Dunkel Line & Total: Montana State by 23; 39
Vegas Line & Total: Montana State by 17 ½; 43 ½
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (-17 ½); Under
Albany at Delaware
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Albany 58.557; Delaware 61.606
Dunkel Line & Total: Delaware by 3; 53
Vegas Line & Total: Delaware by 10; 50 ½
Dunkel Pick: Albany (+10); Over
Indiana State at South Dakota
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 61.065; South Dakota 66.989
Dunkel Line & Total: South Dakota by 6; 47
Vegas Line & Total: South Dakota by 14 ½; 42 ½
Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (+14 ½); Over
North Dakota State at North Dakota
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 80.081; North Dakota 76.616
Dunkel Line & Total: North Dakota State by 3 ½; 45
Vegas Line & Total: North Dakota State by 10 ½; 47 ½
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (+10 ½); Under
Alabama A&M at Grambling
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama A&M 55.275; Grambling 37.660
Dunkel Line & Total: Alabama A&M by 17 ½; 66
Vegas Line & Total: Alabama A&M by 7; 57 ½
Dunkel Pick: Alabama A&M (-7); Over
James Madison at New Hampshire
Time: 3:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 81.109; New Hampshire 62.817
Dunkel Line & Total: James Madison by 18 ½; 54
Vegas Line & Total: James Madison by 24; 57 ½
Dunkel Pick: New Hampshire (+24); Under
Cornell at Bucknell
Time: 3:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 48.792; Bucknell 41.037
Dunkel Line & Total: Cornell by 7; 41
Vegas Line & Total: Cornell by 14 ½; 35 ½
Dunkel Pick: Bucknell (+14 ½); Over
Wofford at East Tennessee State
Time: 3:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 50.957; East Tennessee State 70.364
Dunkel Line & Total: East Tennessee State by 19 ½; 55
Vegas Line & Total: East Tennessee State by 14 ½; 49 ½
Dunkel Pick: East Tennessee State (-14 ½); Over
Fordham at Lafayette
Time: 3:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 55.671; Lafayette 58.504
Dunkel Line & Total: Lafayette by 3; 36
Vegas Line & Total: Pick; 42 ½
Dunkel Pick: Lafayette; Under
Idaho State at Northern Arizona
Time: 4:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 60.169; Northern Arizona 58.009
Dunkel Line & Total: Idaho State by 2; 39
Vegas Line & Total: Northern Arizona by 4; 43 ½
Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (+4); Under
NC Central at Mississippi Valley State
Time: 4:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: NC Central 37.981; Mississippi Valley State 32.192
Dunkel Line & Total: NC Central by 6; 47
Vegas Line & Total: NC Central by 9 ½; 50 ½
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi Valley State (+9 ½); Under
Southern Illinois at Western Illinois
Time: 4:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 78.279; Western Illinois 66.171
Dunkel Line & Total: Southern Illinois by 12; 74
Vegas Line & Total: Southern Illinois by 15 ½; 71 ½
Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (+15 ½); Over
Houston Baptist at Nicholls State
Time: 4:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Houston Baptist 43.680; Nicholls State 63.408
Dunkel Line & Total: Nicholls State by 20; 59
Vegas Line & Total: Nicholls State by 23 ½; 61 ½
Dunkel Pick: Houston Baptist (+23 ½); Under
St. Thomas-MN at San Diego
Time: 4:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: St. Thomas-MN 34.586; San Diego 42.338
Dunkel Line & Total: San Diego by 8; 45
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Brown at Bryant
Time: 4:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 42.734; Bryant 44.813
Dunkel Line & Total: Bryant by 2; 67
Vegas Line & Total: Brown by 1 ½; 60 ½
Dunkel Pick: Bryant (+1 ½); Over
Sam Houston State at Stephen F. Austin
Time: 5:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Sam Houston State 79.145; Stephen F. Austin 70.092
Dunkel Line & Total: Sam Houston State by 9; 58
Vegas Line & Total: Sam Houston State by 13 ½; 54 ½
Dunkel Pick: Stephen F. Austin (+13 ½); Over
Delaware State at Wagner
Time: 5:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware State 37.291; Wagner 29.442
Dunkel Line & Total: Delaware State by 8; 50
Vegas Line & Total: Wagner by 1 ½; 47 ½
Dunkel Pick: Delaware State (+1 ½); Over
Youngstown State at Northern Iowa
Time: 5:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 65.840; Northern Iowa 77.122
Dunkel Line & Total: Northern Iowa by 11 ½; 60
Vegas Line & Total: Northern Iowa by 16; 53 ½
Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (+16); Over
Eastern Illinois at Murray State
Time: 5:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 44.247; Murray State 59.280
Dunkel Line & Total: Murray State by 15; 45
Vegas Line & Total: Murray State by 13; 40 ½
Dunkel Pick: Murray State (-13); Over
Samford at Mercer
Time: 6:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 65.798; Mercer 67.209
Dunkel Line & Total: Mercer by 1 ½; 80
Vegas Line & Total: Mercer by 7 ½; 68 ½
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+7 ½); Over
Alabama State at Florida A&M
Time: 6:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama State 47.074; Florida A&M 48.309
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida A&M by 1; 52
Vegas Line & Total: Florida A&M by 8 ½; 42 ½
Dunkel Pick: Alabama State (+8 ½); Over
Central Arkansas at Abilene Christian
Time: 7:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Central Arkansas 71.357; Abilene Christian 63.043
Dunkel Line & Total: Central Arkansas by 8 ½; 71
Vegas Line & Total: Abilene Christian by 1; 67 ½
Dunkel Pick: Central Arkansas (+1); Over
Dixie State at South Dakota State
Time: 7:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Dixie State 45.467; South Dakota State 93.315
Dunkel Line & Total: South Dakota State by 48; 60
Vegas Line & Total: South Dakota State by 45; 58
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-45); Over
Campbell at North Alabama
Time: 7:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Campbell 61.105; North Alabama 50.055
Dunkel Line & Total: Campbell by 11; 46
Vegas Line & Total: Campbell by 3; 48 ½
Dunkel Pick: Campbell (-3); Under
Incarnate Word at Northwestern State
Time: 7:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Incarnate Word 64.126; Northwestern State 50.747
Dunkel Line & Total: Incarnate Word by 13 ½; 61
Vegas Line & Total: Incarnate Word by 17; 57 ½
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern State (+17); Over
Weber State at Cal Poly
Time: 8:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 73.487; Cal Poly 45.386
Dunkel Line & Total: Weber State by 28; 45
Vegas Line & Total: Weber State by 19 ½; 51 ½
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-19 ½); Under
Portland State at Southern Utah
Time: 8:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 60.260; Southern Utah 56.809
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland State by 3 ½; 64
Vegas Line & Total: Southern Utah by 2; 67
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (+2); Under
Tennessee State at Austin Peay
Time: 8:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 37.043; Austin Peay 56.566
Dunkel Line & Total: Austin Peay by 21 1/2; 68
Vegas Line & Total: Austin Peay by 24 1/2; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (+24 1/2); Over
Idaho at UC-Davis
Time: 10:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 56.654; UC-Davis 80.299
Dunkel Line & Total: UC-Davis by 23 ½; 52
Vegas Line & Total: UC-Davis by 17 ½; 58
Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (-17 ½); Under
Montana at Eastern Washington
Time: 10:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 82.058; Eastern Washington 79.025
Dunkel Line & Total: Montana by 3; 64
Vegas Line & Total: Montana by 6 ½; 61
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (+6 ½); Over