FCS Picks/Week 6
09 October 2021

The Montana State Bobcats play their homecoming game today against the Cal Poly Mustangs in a Big Sky Conference contest. Game time is 4:00 pm ET at Bobcat Stadium.
The Bobcats (4-1, 2-0) lost to FBS Wyoming, 19-16, in the season-opener, but have dominated their FCS competition since. In the last four games, Montana State has outscored the opposition 167-41 and is coming off a 40-7 victory over Northern Colorado.
It’s been the exact opposite for Cal Poly (1-4, 0-2), which opened the season with a 28-17 win over San Diego, but has lost its last four by a combined 188-38. The Mustangs are coming off a 38-7 loss to Weber State that saw Jackson Pavitt become the team’s fourth starting QB this season.
The Bobcats have won the last three in the series and Dunkel has them making it four straight while also covering the Vegas line of 29. MSU’s defense should also dominate the struggling Mustang offense and keep the final score under the Vegas total of 59 ½.
Dunkel’s Pick: Montana State (-29); Under
Below are all of Dunkel’s picks for Week 6 of the FCS schedule:
OCTOBER 8
Morgan State at Howard
Time: 8:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Morgan State 32.542; Howard 40.305
Dunkel Line & Total: Howard by 8; 49
Vegas Line & Total: Howard by 4 ½; 53 ½
Dunkel Pick: Howard (-4 ½); Under
OCTOBER 9
Stetson at Marist
Time: 12:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Stetson 22.671; Marist 34.284
Dunkel Line & Total: Marist by 11 ½; 55
Vegas Line & Total: Marist by 6; 60 ½
Dunkel Pick: Marist (-6); Under
San Diego at Butler
Time: 12:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 39.650; Butler 21.403
Dunkel Line & Total: San Diego by 18; 33
Vegas Line & Total: San Diego by 7; 51 ½
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-7); Under
Elon at Maine
Time: 12:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 54.241; Maine 54.227
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 57
Vegas Line & Total: Elon by 6; 53 ½
Dunkel Pick: Maine (+6); Over
Bryant at Duquesne
Time: 12:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Bryant 49.966; Duquesne 55.466
Dunkel Line & Total: Duquesne by 5 ½; 50
Vegas Line & Total: Duquesne by 14 ½; 48
Dunkel Pick: Bryant (+14 ½); Over
Colgate at Brown
Time: 12:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Colgate 43.976; Brown 41.581
Dunkel Line & Total: Colgate by 2 ½; 67
Vegas Line & Total: Brown by 3 ½; 52 ½
Dunkel Pick: Colgate (+3 ½); Over
Bucknell at Lafayette
Time: 12:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Bucknell 41.995; Lafayette 52.865
Dunkel Line & Total: Lafayette by 11; 52
Vegas Line & Total: Lafayette by 17 ½; 37 ½
Dunkel Pick: Bucknell (+17 ½); Over
LIU at St. Francis-PA
Time: 1:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: LIU 38.863; St. Francis-PA 44.117
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Francis-PA by 5 ½; 46
Vegas Line & Total: St. Francis-PA by 13; 48
Dunkel Pick: LIU (+13); Under
Columbia at Central Connecticut State
Time: 1:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Columbia 55.131; Central Connecticut State 33.744
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbia by 21 ½; 61
Vegas Line & Total: Columbia by 16; 48 ½
Dunkel Pick: Columbia (-16); Over
Cornell at Harvard
Time: 1:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 48.835; Harvard 70.280
Dunkel Line & Total: Harvard by 21 ½; 56
Vegas Line & Total: Harvard by 27 ½; 47 ½
Dunkel Pick: Cornell (+27 ½); Over
Dayton at Drake
Time: 1:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 41.865; Drake 35.777
Dunkel Line & Total: Dayton by 6; 31
Vegas Line & Total: Pick; 47 ½
Dunkel Pick: Dayton; Under
Delaware at Rhode Island
Time: 1:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 59.996; Rhode Island 67.621
Dunkel Line & Total: Rhode Island by 7 ½; 53
Vegas Line & Total: Rhode Island by 3 ½; 50 ½
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (-3 ½); Over
Lehigh at Pennsylvania
Time: 1:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Lehigh 32.705; Pennsylvania 47.048
Dunkel Line & Total: Pennsylvania by 14 ½; 40
Vegas Line & Total: Pennsylvania by 18; 35 ½
Dunkel Pick: Lehigh (+18); Over
Morehead State at Presbyterian
Time: 1:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 35.153; Presbyterian 36.437
Dunkel Line & Total: Presbyterian by 1 ½; 73
Vegas Line & Total: Morehead State by 3 ½; 90 ½
Dunkel Pick: Presbyterian (+3 ½); Under
North Alabama at NC A&T
Time: 1:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: North Alabama 53.865; NC A&T 55.553
Dunkel Line & Total: NC A&T by 1 ½; 57
Vegas Line & Total: NC A&T by 6; 61 ½
Dunkel Pick: North Alabama (+6); Under
Princeton at Monmouth
Time: 1:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 67.088; Monmouth 58.494
Dunkel Line & Total: Princeton by 8 ½; 61
Vegas Line & Total: Princeton by 3; 48 ½
Dunkel Pick: Princeton (-3); Over
SE Louisiana at Nicholls State
Time: 1:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: SE Louisiana 70.707; Nicholls State 64.953
Dunkel Line & Total: SE Louisiana by 6; 62
Vegas Line & Total: Nicholls State by 2 ½; 71 ½
Dunkel Pick: SE Louisiana (+2 ½); Under
Wagner at Fordham
Time: 1:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Wagner 36.725; Fordham 55.310
Dunkel Line & Total: Fordham by 18 ½; 62
Vegas Line & Total: Fordham by 24 ½; 60 ½
Dunkel Pick: Wagner (+24 ½); Over
Western Illinois at Indiana State
Time: 1:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 67.523; Indiana State 56.197
Dunkel Line & Total: Western Illinois by 11 ½; 45
Vegas Line & Total: Western Illinois by 7 ½; 55 ½
Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (-7 ½); Under
Yale at Dartmouth
Time: 1:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 65.559; Dartmouth 63.258
Dunkel Line & Total: Yale by 2 ½; 42
Vegas Line & Total: Dartmouth by 7; 43 ½
Dunkel Pick: Yale (+7); Under
Chattanooga at VMI
Time: 1:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 60.012; VMI 59.761
Dunkel Line & Total: Chattanooga by ½; 58
Vegas Line & Total: Chattanooga by 10; 51 ½
Dunkel Pick: VMI (+10); Over
Furman at Wofford
Time: 1:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 56.722; Wofford 52.639
Dunkel Line & Total: Furman by 4; 49
Vegas Line & Total: Pick; 37 ½
Dunkel Pick: Furman; Over
Northern Iowa at North Dakota State
Time: 2:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 81.242; North Dakota State 82.837
Dunkel Line & Total: North Dakota State by 1 ½; 40
Vegas Line & Total: North Dakota State by 6 ½; 35 ½
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (+6 ½); Over
Valparaiso at St. Thomas-MN
Time: 2:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 40.135; St. Thomas-MN 33.244
Dunkel Line & Total: Valparaiso by 7; 44
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Tennessee Tech at NC Central
Time: 2:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 38.900; NC Central 43.784
Dunkel Line & Total: NC Central by 5; 43
Vegas Line & Total: Tennessee Tech by 4; 38 ½
Dunkel Pick: NC Central (+4); Over
Villanova at James Madison
Time: 2:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 76.918; James Madison 82.649
Dunkel Line & Total: James Madison by 6; 56
Vegas Line & Total: James Madison by 10 ½; 63
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (+10 ½); Under
Missouri State at Youngstown State
Time: 2:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 68.026; Youngstown State 66.721
Dunkel Line & Total: Missouri State by 1 ½; 54
Vegas Line & Total: Missouri State by 7 ½; 64 ½
Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (+7 ½); Under
Merrimack at Sacred Heart
Time: 2:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Merrimack 48.559; Sacred Heart 39.301
Dunkel Line & Total: Merrimack by 9 ½; 35
Vegas Line & Total: Merrimack by 6; 41 ½
Dunkel Pick: Merrimack (-6); Under
Kennesaw State at Hampton
Time: 2:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Kennesaw State 61.114; Hampton 46.175
Dunkel Line & Total: Kennesaw State by 15; 73
Vegas Line & Total: Kennesaw State by 18; 66 ½
Dunkel Pick: Hampton (+18); Over
AR-Pine Bluff at Alabama State
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: AR-Pine Bluff 44.699; Alabama State 45.552
Dunkel Line & Total: Alabama State by 1; 46
Vegas Line & Total: AR-Pine Bluff by 2 ½; 52 ½
Dunkel Pick: Alabama State (+2 ½); Under
Southern Illinois at South Dakota State
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 75.928; South Dakota State 92.840
Dunkel Line & Total: South Dakota State by 17; 52
Vegas Line & Total: South Dakota State by 13 ½; 56 ½
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-13 ½); Under
North Dakota at South Dakota
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 65.860; South Dakota 77.857
Dunkel Line & Total: South Dakota by 12; 49
Vegas Line & Total: South Dakota by 9; 43 ½
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota (-9); Over
Murray State at Tennessee-Martin
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 56.108; Tennessee-Martin 66.490
Dunkel Line & Total: Tennessee-Martin by 10 ½; 57
Vegas Line & Total: Tennessee-Martin by 2 ½; 46 ½
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee-Martin (-2 ½); Over
Lamar at Sam Houston State
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Lamar 40.857; Sam Houston State 71.490
Dunkel Line & Total: Sam Houston State by 30 ½; 54
Vegas Line & Total: Sam Houston State by 35 ½; 57 ½
Dunkel Pick: Lamar (+35 ½); Under
Jackson State at Alabama A&M
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Jackson State 47.006; Alabama A&M 49.621
Dunkel Line & Total: Alabama A&M by 2 ½; 66
Vegas Line & Total: Jackson State by 3 ½; 52 ½
Dunkel Pick: Alabama A&M (+3 ½); Over
Grambling at Alcorn State
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Grambling 39.314; Alcorn State 56.626
Dunkel Line & Total: Alcorn State by 17 ½; 58
Vegas Line & Total: Alcorn State by 10; 41 ½
Dunkel Pick: Alcorn State (-10); Over
Eastern Washington at Northern Colorado
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 73.738; Northern Colorado 60.684
Dunkel Line & Total: Eastern Washington by 13; 42
Vegas Line & Total: Eastern Washington 20 ½; 61 ½
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (+20 ½); Under
Dixie State at Montana
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Dixie State 47.942; Montana 81.300
Dunkel Line & Total: Montana by 33 ½; 45
Vegas Line & Total: Montana by 37 ½; 51 ½
Dunkel Pick: Dixie State (+37 ½); Under
UC-Davis at Idaho State
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 76.370; Idaho State 54.906
Dunkel Line & Total: UC-Davis by 21 ½; 52
Vegas Line & Total: UC-Davis by 17; 56 ½
Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (-17); Under
Charleston Southern at Robert Morris
Time: 3:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Charleston Southern 54.318; Robert Morris 45.666
Dunkel Line & Total: Charleston Southern by 8 ½; 46
Vegas Line & Total: Charleston Southern by 18; 48 ½
Dunkel Pick: Robert Morris (+18); Under
Albany at William & Mary
Time: 3:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Albany 56.167; William & Mary 58.480
Dunkel Line & Total: William & Mary by 2 ½; 46
Vegas Line & Total: William & Mary by 7 ½; 41 ½
Dunkel Pick: Albany (+7 ½); Over
Mercer at Western Carolina
Time: 3:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Mercer 62.127; Western Carolina 48.818
Dunkel Line & Total: Mercer by 13 ½; 69
Vegas Line & Total: Mercer by 16 ½; 72 ½
Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (+16 ½); Under
Stony Brook at Towson
Time: 4:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Stony Brook 58.315; Towson 58.641
Dunkel Line & Total: Towson by ½; 50
Vegas Line & Total: Towson by 5 ½; 44 ½
Dunkel Pick: Stony Brook (+5 ½); Over
Stephen F. Austin at Jacksonville State
Time: 4:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Stephen F. Austin 66.747; Jacksonville State 62.167
Dunkel Line & Total: Stephen F. Austin by 4 ½; 46
Vegas Line & Total: Stephen F. Austin by 8; 41 ½
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville State (+8); Over
SE Missouri State at Austin Peay
Time: 4:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 47.448; Austin Peay 58.802
Dunkel Line & Total: Austin Peay by 11 ½; 60
Vegas Line & Total: Austin Peay by 7 ½; 68 ½
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (-7 ½); Under
Mississippi Valley State at Bethune Cookman
Time: 5:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi Valley State 30.389; Bethune Cookman 44.572
Dunkel Line & Total: Bethune Cookman by 14; 66
Vegas Line & Total: Bethune Cookman by 9 ½; 59 ½
Dunkel Pick: Bethune Cookman (-9 ½); Over
Cal Poly at Montana State
Time: 4:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 44.806; Montana State 80.658
Dunkel Line & Total: Montana State by 36; 49
Vegas Line & Total: Montana State by 29; 59 ½
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (-29); Under
The Citadel at East Tennessee State
Time: 4:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 61.252; East Tennessee State 62.683
Dunkel Line & Total: East Tennessee State by 1 ½; 55
Vegas Line & Total: East Tennessee State by 10 ½; 59 ½
Dunkel Pick: The Citadel (+10 ½); Under
Southern vs Texas Southern
Time: 5:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Southern 42.201; Texas Southern 38.279
Dunkel Line & Total: Southern by 4; 74
Vegas Line & Total: Southern by 7; 69 ½
Dunkel Pick: Texas Southern (+7); Over
Portland State at Idaho
Time: 5:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 61.970; Idaho 59.583
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland State by 2 ½; 49
Vegas Line & Total: Idaho by 5; 54
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (+5); Under
Abilene Christian at Eastern Kentucky
Time: 6:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Abilene Christian 63.641; Eastern Kentucky 62.098
Dunkel Line & Total: Abilene Christian by 1 ½; 42
Vegas Line & Total: Eastern Kentucky by 3; 50 ½
Dunkel Pick: Abilene Christian (+3); Under
South Carolina State at Florida A&M
Time: 6:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina State 45.574; Florida A&M 57.831
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida A&M by 12 ½; 40
Vegas Line & Total: Florida A&M by 10; 54 ½
Dunkel Pick: Florida A&M (-10); Under
Campbell at Gardner Webb
Time: 6:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Campbell 57.295; Gardner Webb 52.070
Dunkel Line & Total: Campbell by 5; 65
Vegas Line & Total: Campbell by 9; 67 ½
Dunkel Pick: Gardner Webb (+9); Under
Northwestern State at Houston Baptist
Time: 7:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern State 48.810; Houston Baptist 40.134
Dunkel Line & Total: Northwestern State by 8 ½; 63
Vegas Line & Total: Northwestern State by 3 ½; 59 ½
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern State (-3 ½); Over
Southern Utah at Sacramento State
Time: 9:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 55.099; Sacramento State 68.948
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento State by 14; 54
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento State by 8 ½; 51 ½
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento State (-8 ½); Over