Fairfield vs. Rider Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 9

The Fairfield Stags (9-7, 1-4 MAAC) host the Rider Broncs (1-12, 0-4 MAAC) at Leo D. Mahoney Arena, starting at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, January 9, 2026. The Broncs are 7.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 142.5 points.

Fairfield is coming off of an 83-75 win against Niagara in its most recent game on Sunday. Brandon Benjamin's team-high 23 points paced Fairfield in the victory. Rider's last contest on Sunday ended in a 74-65 loss to Siena. Zion Cruz totaled 20 points, one rebound and three assists for Rider.

Fairfield vs. Rider Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, January 9, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Leo D. Mahoney Arena in Fairfield, Connecticut
• Spread favorite: Fairfield -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: Fairfield -364
• Moneyline underdog: Rider +283
• Over/Under: 142.5 points

How to watch Fairfield vs. Rider

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Fairfield vs. Rider

• Fairfield and its opponents have combined to hit the over on Friday's over/under of 142.5 points eight times this season.
• There have been three Rider games that ended with a combined score higher than 142.5 points this season.
• The Stags average 77.6 points per game against the Broncs' 61.6, amounting to 3.3 points under the game's over/under of 142.5.
• This matchup's total is 7.5 less than the 150 points these two teams combine to give up per game.
• On average, Fairfield has seen a 151.9-point over/under in its games this season, 9.4 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• Rider's games have an average over/under of 137.3 points this season, 5.2 fewer points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Fairfield vs. Rider

• Fairfield has six wins against the spread in 15 games this year.
• The Stags have been favored by 7.5 points or more two times this season and have not covered the spread in any of them.
• Rider is 3-9-0 against the spread this season.
• The Broncs have been underdogs by 7.5 points or more nine times this year and are 3-6 ATS in those matchups.
• At home this season, Fairfield has one win against the spread and is 4-2 overall.
• At home, Fairfield is winless ATS (0-2) as a 7.5-point favorite or greater.
• This season on the road, Rider is 3-5 against the spread and 0-8 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Fairfield vs. Rider

• Fairfield has won six of the nine games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Stags have played as a favorite of -364 or more once this season and won that game.
• Fairfield has a 78.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Rider has been moneyline underdogs in 10 games this season, however, it has failed to come away with a win in any of those games.
• The Broncs have won all of their eight games in which they were named as at least a +283 moneyline underdog.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Rider has a 26.1% chance of walking away with the win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Fairfield vs. Rider

• Pick ATS: Rider (+ 7.5)
• Pick OU: Under (142.5)
  
• Prediction: Fairfield 71 - Rider 66