Fairfield vs. Niagara Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 4
04 January 2026

The Fairfield Stags (8-7, 0-4 MAAC) visit the Niagara Purple Eagles (4-9, 1-2 MAAC) at Gallagher Center, beginning at 2 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 4, 2026. The Purple Eagles are 4.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 139.5 points.
Fairfield is coming off of an 85-81 loss to Canisius in its most recent outing on Friday. Declan Wucherpfennig scored a team-high 20 points for Fairfield in the loss. Niagara's last contest on Friday ended in a 64-61 victory against Sacred Heart. In Niagara's win, Justin Page led the way with 23 points (adding four rebounds and two assists).
Fairfield vs. Niagara Odds and Game Time
- When: Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET
- Where: Gallagher Center in Lewiston, New York
- Spread favorite: Fairfield -4.5
- Moneyline favorite: Fairfield -186
- Moneyline underdog: Niagara +153
- Over/Under: 139.5 points
How to watch Fairfield vs. Niagara
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Fairfield vs. Niagara
- Fairfield and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (139.5 points) nine times this season.
- In Niagara's 12 games this season, six finished with more combined points than Sunday's total of 139.5.
- Together, the two teams combine for 140.1 points per game, 0.6 points more than the total of 139.5 for this contest.
- The 148.1 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 8.6 more than the 139.5 total in this contest.
- Fairfield has seen a 151.5 average over/under in its games this season, 12.0 points more than the over/under in this contest.
- The over/under for this game is 2.7 points more than the average over/under in Niagara's games this season (136.8 points).
Betting the Spread: Fairfield vs. Niagara
- Against the spread, Fairfield is 5-9-0 this season.
- This season, the Stags have just one ATS win in five games as a favorite of 4.5 points or more.
- Against the spread, Niagara is 4-8-0 this year.
- The Purple Eagles have been underdogs by 4.5 points or more five times this year and covered the spread once.
- Niagara has covered the spread twice at home, and is 2-1 overall there, this season.
- At home, as a 4.5-point underdog or greater, Niagara is unbeaten ATS (1-0).
- Fairfield is 4-4 against the spread, and 3-5 overall, away from home.
- Fairfield has one win ATS (1-1) as 4.5-point favorites or more away from home.
Betting the Moneyline: Fairfield vs. Niagara
- Fairfield has entered the game as moneyline favorites eight times this season and won five of those games.
- This season, the Stags have won four of their five games when favored by at least -186 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 65% chance of a victory for Fairfield.
- Niagara has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in nine games this year and has walked away with the win two times (22.2%) in those games.
- The Purple Eagles have won all of their four games in which they were named as at least a +153 moneyline underdog.
- Niagara has an implied victory probability of 39.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
