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East Tennessee State vs. Chattanooga Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 11

11 February 2026 By Data Skrive

The East Tennessee State Buccaneers (18-7, 10-2 SoCon) are favored by 11.5 points versus the Chattanooga Mocs (10-15, 4-8 SoCon) on February 11, 2026 at Freedom Hall Civic Center. The Buccaneers are red-hot, having won three in a row and going 8-2 in their past 10 games. The matchup has a point total of 143.5.

East Tennessee State is coming off of an 87-70 win against VMI in its last game on Saturday. Blake Barkley's team-high 22 points led East Tennessee State in the victory. Chattanooga enters this matchup after a 78-71 loss to Citadel on Saturday. Jordan Frison totaled 24 points, three rebounds and three assists for Chattanooga.

East Tennessee State vs. Chattanooga Odds and Game Time

  • When: Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
  • Where: Freedom Hall Civic Center in Johnson City, Tennessee
  • Spread favorite: East Tennessee State -11.5
  • Moneyline favorite: East Tennessee State -763
  • Moneyline underdog: Chattanooga +498
  • Over/Under: 143.5 points

How to watch East Tennessee State vs. Chattanooga

Betting the Over/Under: East Tennessee State vs. Chattanooga

  • A total of 14 of East Tennessee State's games this season have gone over Wednesday's over/under of 143.5 points.
  • There have been 14 Chattanooga games that ended with a combined score higher than 143.5 points this season.
  • The Buccaneers average 78.8 points per game against the Mocs' 75.2, amounting to 10.5 points over the matchup's point total of 143.5.
  • These two teams surrender a combined 141.4 points per game, 2.1 less than this contest's over/under.
  • On average, East Tennessee State has had a 146.6-point over/under in its games this season, 3.1 more points than the over/under in this contest.
  • A difference of 5.3 points separates the average over/under in Chattanooga's games (148.8 points) and this contest's over/under (143.5).
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Betting the Spread: East Tennessee State vs. Chattanooga

  • East Tennessee State has played 23 games, with 11 wins against the spread.
  • This season, the Buccaneers have an ATS record of 6-1 in their seven games as a favorite of 11.5 points or more.
  • Chattanooga has played 22 games, with 10 wins against the spread.
  • The Mocs have been underdogs by 11.5 points or more two times this season and covered the spread once.
  • At home this year, East Tennessee State is 7-5 against the spread and 10-2 overall.
  • East Tennessee State is 4-1 ATS as a 11.5-point favorite or more at home.
  • Away from home, Chattanooga is 4-8 overall and 5-7 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: East Tennessee State vs. Chattanooga

  • East Tennessee State has been the moneyline favorite in 20 games this season and won 15 (75%) of those contests.
  • The Buccaneers have entered six games this season favored by -763 or more, and won each of those games.
  • East Tennessee State has a 88.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Chattanooga has come away with three wins in the 11 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
  • The Mocs have been listed as an underdog of +498 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
  • Chattanooga has an implied victory probability of 16.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

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