East Carolina vs. UTSA Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 11

In a game featuring two of the coldest squads in college basketball, the East Carolina Pirates (7-16, 2-8 AAC) are favored by 11.5 points over the UTSA Roadrunners (4-19, 0-11 AAC) at Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum on February 11, 2026. The Pirates are 2-8 in their past 10 games. The Roadrunners have lost 16 straight, and are 0-10 in their past 10. The matchup has a point total of 147.5.

East Carolina enters this contest after an 81-73 loss to Temple on Saturday. Jordan Riley recorded 32 points, five rebounds and three assists for East Carolina. UTSA's most recent game was an 81-58 loss to North Texas on Saturday. UTSA got a team-high 17 points from Jamir Simpson in the loss.

East Carolina vs. UTSA Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum in Greenville, North Carolina
• Spread favorite: East Carolina -11.5
• Moneyline favorite: East Carolina -649
• Moneyline underdog: UTSA +475
• Over/Under: 147.5 points

How to watch East Carolina vs. UTSA

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: East Carolina vs. UTSA

• A total of 10 of East Carolina's games this season have gone over Wednesday's total of 147.5 points.
• This season, 10 of UTSA's games have finished with a combined score higher than 147.5 points.
• The Pirates average 68.9 points per game and the Roadrunners score 68.7, amounting to 9.9 points under the game's over/under of 147.5.
• The 157 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 9.5 more than the 147.5 total in this contest.
• East Carolina has seen a 145.5 average over/under in its games this season, 2.0 less than the over/under in this matchup.
• A difference of 1.5 points separates the average over/under in UTSA's games (149.0 points) and this contest's over/under (147.5).

Betting the Spread: East Carolina vs. UTSA

• East Carolina has seven wins against the spread in 22 games this season.
• The Pirates have yet to cover the spread this season when favored by 11.5 points or more.
• In UTSA's 21 games this season, it has six wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Roadrunners have been installed as underdogs by an 11.5-point margin or more nine times and are 3-6 ATS in those games.
• East Carolina is 4-8 overall, and 3-9 against the spread, at home.
• East Carolina is winless ATS (0-2) as a 11.5-point favorite or greater at home.
• UTSA has two wins against the spread, and are 1-9 overall, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: East Carolina vs. UTSA

• This season, East Carolina has been moneyline favorites nine times and won four of those games.
• The Pirates have played as a favorite of -649 or more twice this season and split those games.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that East Carolina has a 86.6% chance to win.
• UTSA has been a moneyline underdog in 19 games this season and has come away with the win two times (10.5%) in those contests.
• The Roadrunners have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +475 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• UTSA has an implied victory probability of 17.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.