Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox Betting Preview/Prop Picks

22 June 2022

Today's game between the Detroit Tigers and Boston Red Sox should be a good one. The Tigers, who lost the last two games, really need a win.

With a record of 26-42, things aren't looking good for the Tigers at the moment. However, they can turn it around if they can get a few wins over the Red Sox. The question is, how can they stop the Red Sox batters?

Yesterday, the Red Sox beat the Tigers 5-4 in a very close game. In the previous one, the Red Sox had a more commanding 5-2 win. One thing is apparent, and that's the Red Sox are the favorites to win this game.

Whether they can actually come out on top is another question. With this being the final game of the series, we'll have to see if Boston can pull off a sweep tonight.

Detroit Tigers: Tigers failed to show up at the plate on Tuesday

The main problem for the Tigers isn't pitching at the moment; it's batting. As a team, they have a batting average of .227, which ranks 27th in Major League Baseball.

They've scored just 196 runs this season as well, ranking 30th. These compound problems translate into their performances at the plate. Yesterday we got a good look at what this results in for the Tigers.

Today, they'll send out Tarik Skubal, who is a LHP with a record of 5-4 this season. Skubal has an ERA of 3.13 this year which is rather impressive.

However, taking on the Red Sox batters is not an easy task. Through the last two games, the Tigers have allowed five runs in each one. Even with Skubal on the mound, the Tigers could have a tough time securing a win here.

Boston Red Sox: Strength at the plate will lead them to a win

One thing the Red Sox can do really well is hit the baseball. This season, Boston has a .258 batting average which ranks third in MLB. Along with that, the Red Sox has a top-ten on-base percentage of .319.

Being able to get on the base easily means the Red Sox can score more runs. Look for them to implement the same formula tonight when they face off against Detroit.

They also have a sizable edge in terms of pitching over the Tigers. The Red Sox will start the 5-1 Michael Wacha tonight. Wacha has an ERA of 2.28 over the course of 59.1 innings pitched. With Wacha on the mound, the Red Sox has the overall advantage in this game.

They have better pitching and batting, which usually results in a win. We believe that to be the case here.

Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox Betting Pick

After going over what each of these teams brings to the contest, the choice is pretty clear. The Boston Red Sox are -156 in this game for a reason.

They've got better hitters and a much better SP and bullpen. Look for the Red Sox to win this one at home, where they have a 19-16 record this season. 

Along with taking the Red Sox, we'll also take the under in this game. The last two games have split, but we expect this one to stay under eight runs. The total has gone under in four of the Tigers' last six games, so keep that in mind.

DunkelIndex Free Pick: Boston Red Sox -156, UNDER

Prop Picks

Detroit (-105) UNDER 3.5 Runs

Detroit is averaging 2.96 runs per 9 innings on offense, which ranks No. 30 in the league, with a team OPS of .610, which ranks No. 29. Scores have gone UNDER in seven of the Tigers’ last eight games versus Boston.

With Dunkel predicting a Boston victory by the score of 4-2, take the Tigers (-105) to finish UNDER their Vegas team total of 3.5 runs against the Red Sox.

Michael Wacha (-145) UNDER 5.5 Hits Allowed

Wacha has given up 44 hits in 59.1 innings pitched this season for an opponent batting average of .204. The Red Sox righthander given up only 17 hits in 26.1 innings pitched at home for an opponent batting average of .185.

With Dunkel predicting a Boston home victory while holding the Tigers UNDER their Vegas team run total, take Wacha (-145) to finish UNDER 5.5 hits allowed against Detroit.

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