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Derrell Jaylen Warren vs. Texans - NFL - Player Props, Lines and Trends

11 January 2026 By Data Skrive

In advance of Derrell Jaylen Warren's game on Monday, which starts at 8:15 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN, check out some insights and stats to help place the best bets. The AFC Wild Card round features a matchup between Warren's Pittsburgh Steelers and the Houston Texans from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Keep reading for more Dunkel stats, insights and trends.

Derrell Jaylen Warren Player Props

Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
51.5 -112 10.5 -116 +220

Warren Rushing Insights

  • Warren's rushing yards over/under for Monday is set at 51.5. That's 8.4 fewer yards than his season average (59.9).
  • In nine of 16 games so far this season (56.2%), Warren has rushed for more than 51.5 yards.
  • Warren has out-gained his rushing yards prop average on the season (54.6) by 5.3 yards.
  • Warren went over on his rushing yards prop bet total in eight of his 16 opportunities this year (50.0%).
  • Warren has scored multiple rushing touchdowns in two games this season. He's scored on the ground in four total games.

Warren Receiving Insights

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  • Warren's 20.8 receiving yards average is 10.3 more than his prop total for Monday's matchup.
  • In 62.5% of his games this year (10 of 16), Warren has totaled over 10.5 receiving yards.
  • Warren's 20.8 receiving yards per game are 4.7 more than his average prop total (16.1).
  • Warren has gone over on his receiving yards prop bet in 50.0% of his games (eight of 16).
  • Warren has had a touchdown catch in two of 16 games this season, but had only one TD in each of those games.

Houston Texans Rankings

  • Warren will face the NFL's fourth-ranked rush defense this week. The Texans allow 93.7 yards on the ground per contest.
  • The Texans' defense ranks eighth in the NFL with 13 rushing TDs conceded so far this season.

For more expert NFL prop picks and best bets, visit Dunkel Index Best NFL Player Props today.

Last Five Games

Opponent Date Week Rushing Stats Receiving Stats
vs. Ravens 1/4/2026 Week 18 14 ATT / 66 YDS / 0 TDs 5 TAR / 5 REC / 33 YDS / 0 TDs
vs. Browns 12/28/2025 Week 17 12 ATT / 64 YDS / 0 TDs TAR / 0 REC / 0 YDS / 0 TDs
vs. Lions 12/21/2025 Week 16 14 ATT / 143 YDS / 2 TDs 2 TAR / 2 REC / 8 YDS / 0 TDs
vs. Dolphins 12/15/2025 Week 15 12 ATT / 33 YDS / 0 TDs 3 TAR / 3 REC / 15 YDS / 0 TDs
vs. Ravens 12/7/2025 Week 14 8 ATT / 13 YDS / 0 TDs 3 TAR / 3 REC / 49 YDS / 1 TD

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