Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers Game 4 Betting Preview
22 May 2023
The Denver Nuggets hold the power and can close out the Los Angeles Lakers season with a win on the road in Game 4. Through three games, even when the Lakers have looked sharp, and Anthony Davis has been productive, the Nuggets have been the better team and have the answers to the Lakers' defensive schemes and adjustments.
Will the Joker and Blue Arrow continue to dominate the NBA playoffs and move the Nuggets into the NBA Finals for the first time in franchise history, or will LeBron James and Anthony Davis drag the Lakers to Game 5? The Dunkel Index has your betting preview for Game 4.
Game 4 Odds and Betting Records
Despite having a 3-0 series lead, the Denver Nuggets are the road underdogs, listed between +130 and +138. The Nuggets are listed at +3 to 3.5 on the point spread, having a 52-43-1 ats record.
The Los Angeles Lakers are the home favorite for Game 4, listed between -155 and -163. As the favorite, the Lakers are listed at -3 or 3.5 on the point spread, having a 50-45-3 ats record.
The total points line is listed at 224.5. Los Angeles has a 51-46-1 over/under record, while Denver has a 45-50-1 over/under record. Five of the seven head-to-head matchups between the Nuggets and Lakers have surpassed 224.5 total points.
Both sides of the point spread, and the total points lines are listed at -110 odds.
Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers Betting Trends and Info
- No team in NBA history has erased a 3-0 series in the Conference Finals and won the series
- The home team is 6-1 in head-to-head matchups this season, with Denver winning the only game on the road
- The over is 15-7-2 in the previous 24 meetings in Los Angeles
- The Nuggets and Lakers have combined for a 3-4 over/under record this season
- The Nuggets are 1-4 ats in the last five meetings, covering the spread in Game 3
- Los Angeles has a 30-19 home record, while Denver has a 22-25 road record
Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers Game 4 Analysis
The Denver Nuggets are averaging 119.7 ppg in the Western Conference Finals and 116.6 points in the postseason, while the Lakers are averaging 112.3 ppg in the series and 112.4 in the playoffs.
Denver is shooting 38.8% from beyond the arc, while the Lakers only convert at 33.2%.
The Lakers have slightly better-rebounding stats in the postseason, averaging 45.1 to the Nuggets' 44.5 rebounds per game. The Lakers need Anthony Davis to dominate the post on both ends of the floor for any chance of winning Game 4. We should also note that Anthony Davis tends to follow a good performance with an "off-night," with Game 4 lands on one of Davis' potential "off-nights" after being excellent in Game 1 and OK in Game 3 but absent in Game 2.
While the battle of bigs between Nikola Joki? and Anthony Davis will take the bulk of the spotlight, Jamal Murray has been outstanding in the first three games of the Western Conference finals and will be a major deciding factor if the Nuggets are going to sweep the Lakers in four or complete the "Gentleman's Sweep" in Game 5 on home court.
The Dunkel Index's Pick to Win Game 4
While Las Vegas favors the Lakers and the likelihood of a "Gentleman's Sweep," the Dunkel Index sees the Nuggets winning Game 4 and earning the franchise's first chance to play for the NBA Championship.
The Dunkel Index picks: Denver Nuggets ML, Nuggets +3, Over.
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All Media on this page by Associated Press.
