Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Feb. 11

The Memphis Grizzlies (20-32) hope to snap a three-game losing streak when visiting the Denver Nuggets (34-20) on February 11, 2026 at Ball Arena.

The Nuggets play the Grizzlies in a game that Denver is currently a sizable favorite by 13.5 points. The over/under is 238.5 points for the matchup.

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Wednesday, February 11, 2026
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• Location: Denver, Colorado
• Arena: Ball Arena
• Total: 238.5 points
• Spread: Nuggets -13.5
• Moneyline: Nuggets (-752), Grizzlies (+530)

How to watch Nuggets vs. Grizzlies

• TV Channel: ALT, FDSSE

Betting the Over/Under: Nuggets vs. Grizzlies

• The Nuggets and their opponents have gone over 238.5 combined points in 27 of 54 games this season.
• The Grizzlies have played 18 games this season that have had more than 238.5 combined points scored.
• The two teams average 235.6 points per game combined, 2.9 fewer than this matchup's over/under.
• Opponents of these teams average 233.8 points per game combined, 4.7 fewer than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Nuggets vs. Grizzlies

• Denver has put together a 31-23-0 record against the spread this season.
• The Nuggets have not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 13.5-point favorites.
• The Grizzlies are 23-28-1 ATS this year.
• Memphis has not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 13.5-point underdogs.
• The Nuggets are 14-11 overall, and 12-13 against the spread, at home.
• At home, as a 13.5-point favorite or more, Denver is winless ATS (0-1).
• Away from home, the Grizzlies are 12-13-1 against the spread, and 9-17 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Nuggets vs. Grizzlies

• The Nuggets have won 71.4% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (25-10).
• The Grizzlies have entered the game as underdogs 35 times this season and won nine, or 25.7%, of those games.
• In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -752 or shorter, Denver has gone 2-1 (66.7% win percentage).
• Memphis has played as an underdog of +530 or more once this season and lost that game.
• The Nuggets have an implied moneyline win probability of 88.3% in this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Nuggets vs. Grizzlies

• Pick ATS: Nuggets (- 13.5)
• Pick OU: Under (238.5)
  
• Prediction: Nuggets 122 - Grizzlies 105
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!