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Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors Game 5 Betting Preview/Prop Picks

27 April 2022

With the NBA playoffs heating up, another team faces elimination today. The Denver Nuggets are already down 3-1 in this series as they return to Golden State.

The good news for the Nuggets is they got their first win of the series in Game 4. Could the Nuggets turn the tide and win four games in a row? Perhaps, but it will start with them winning Game 5 on the road.

The Warriors are prepared to end this series right here and get some rest. With Stephen Curry fully healthy, it's no surprise that the Warriors are favored by so much.

The question is, can they actually cover such a large spread after a loss? With a nine-point margin, the Warriors have their work cut out for them tonight. Let's go over each team and make our picks for tonight.

Denver Nuggets: Win now or head home until next season

This added pressure could help the Nuggets perform better tonight. However, history has shown that the Nuggets often fall under pressure in the playoffs. Game 4 was the first time we saw the Nuggets' offense score over 115 points.

The most important thing we saw was their defense finally stopped Jordan Poole. The Nuggets held Poole to just 11 points, shooting 3 for 10.

The key tonight is for the Nuggets to continue their tight defense on certain players. Now that they've figured out Poole, they can turn to Stephen Curry.

Curry had a great night against the Nuggets in Game 4, even though he took a loss. Jokic scored 37 points in Game 4, but we'd like to see more than eight rebounds. If the Nuggets want to win, Jokic needs to crash the boards.

Golden State Warriors: All eyes are on Curry & Co. tonight

Leading the series 3-1 and returning home means fans are expecting a win. You can anticipate how loud Chase Center will be tonight, bringing even more energy to the game.

It's unlikely the Warriors will sulk after their loss to the Nuggets in Game 4. In fact, we believe they'll come out with more intensity after losing. The question is, can they use it to their advantage tonight?

The Warriors have one of the best scoring offenses in the NBA. Through this series, the Warriors have averaged 122 points per game.

Compared to the numbers the Nuggets have put up, the Warriors are well ahead. Because of this, we believe the Warriors have exactly what they need to pull off a Game 5 win.

Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors Betting Pick

The Nuggets might've waited too long to put their foot on the gas. The first four games of the series are behind them, and now they have to head to Chase Center.

The Warriors are 33-10 at home this season, with a 25-16-2 ATS home record. Sure, the nine points are quite a bit to cover, but the Warriors should pull it off.

In this game, you definitely will want to take the over. In five of the Nuggets' last five games, the total has gone over each time.

This same trend is true of the Warriors as well, and the Jazz are 50-35-1 against the total this year. Take the Warriors to win Game 5, covering the spread, with the total going over.

DunkelIndex Free Pick: Golden State Warriors -9, OVER

Prop Picks

Golden State (-110) OVER 117.5 Points

Golden State is averaging 111.0 points per game on offense, which ranks No. 15 in the league. That average average increases to 113.5 points per game at home and 124.5 points per game in their two home playoff wins over Denver.  Scores have gone OVER in each of the Warriors’ last five games overall.

With Dunkel predicting a Golden State victory by the score of 125-112, take the Warriors (-110) to finish OVER their Vegas team total of 117.5 points against the Nuggets.

Steph Curry (-120) OVER 27.5 Points

Curry averaged 25.5 points per game during the regular season, which ranked No. 1 on the Warriors and No. 10 in the league. That average increased to 26.1 points per game in Golden State wins.

With Dunkel predicting a Warriors win while going OVER their team point total, take Curry (-120) to finish OVER his Vegas point total of 27.5 points against the Nuggets.

 

Be sure to check out all our Daily NBA Picks!

 

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