Dayton vs. Davidson Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 15

The Dayton Flyers (15-9, 6-5 A-10) host the Davidson Wildcats (15-9, 6-5 A-10) at UD Arena, starting at 4 p.m. ET on Sunday, February 15, 2026. The Wildcats are 4.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 139.5 points.

Dayton heads into this matchup after a 99-73 loss to VCU on Friday. In Dayton's loss, Amael L'Etang led the way with a team-high 15 points (adding 13 rebounds and one assist). In its most recent game on Monday, Davidson secured a 114-53 win against Mid-Atlantic Christian. Roberts Blums scored a team-leading 14 points for Davidson in the win.

Dayton vs. Davidson Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, February 15, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET
• Where: UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio
• Spread favorite: Dayton -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Dayton -201
• Moneyline underdog: Davidson +163
• Over/Under: 139.5 points

How to watch Dayton vs. Davidson

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Dayton vs. Davidson

• This season, Dayton's games have hit the over on this game's 139.5-point over/under 15 times.
• There have been 12 Davidson games that ended with a combined score over 139.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 150.6 points per game, 11.1 points more than the total of 139.5 for this contest.
• The 140.5 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 1.0 more than the 139.5 over/under in this contest.
• This season, the average over/under for Dayton's games is 148 points, 8.5 more than the total of 139.5 points set for this contest.
• A difference of 3.7 points separates the average over/under in Davidson's games (143.2 points) and this game's over/under (139.5).

Betting the Spread: Dayton vs. Davidson

• In Dayton's 24 games this season, it has nine wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Flyers have been installed as favorites by a 4.5-point margin or more 15 times and are 4-11 ATS in those contests.
• In Davidson's 22 games this year, it has 12 wins against the spread.
• The Wildcats have covered the spread twice this season when underdogs by 4.5 points or more (in seven chances).
• Dayton is 5-8 against the spread, and 11-2 overall, at home.
• At home, as a 4.5-point favorite or more, Dayton is 4-8 ATS.
• Davidson is 5-2 against the spread, and 5-2 overall, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Dayton vs. Davidson

• Dayton has won 13, or 76.5%, of the 17 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Flyers have a record of 10-4 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -201 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 66.8% chance of a victory for Dayton.
• Davidson has come away with five wins in the 11 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Wildcats have a mark of 1-6 in contests where oddsmakers give them odds of +163 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Davidson has a 38% chance of walking away with the win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Dayton vs. Davidson

• Pick ATS: Davidson (+ 4.5)
• Pick OU: Over (139.5)
  
• Prediction: Dayton 78 - Davidson 77