Mavericks vs. Nuggets Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Jan. 14

The Denver Nuggets (27-13) will visit the Dallas Mavericks (15-25) after winning three straight road games.

Wednesday's matchup between the Mavericks and the Nuggets features a close line of Dallas -1.5. A 226.5-point over/under has been set for the game.

Mavericks vs. Nuggets Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Wednesday, January 14, 2026
• Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Dallas, Texas
• Arena: American Airlines Center
• Total: 226.5 points
• Spread: Mavericks -1.5
• Moneyline: Mavericks (-122), Nuggets (+104)

How to watch Mavericks vs. Nuggets

• TV Channel: Altitude Sports
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Mavericks vs. Nuggets

• In 22 of 40 games this season, the Mavericks and their opponents have gone over 226.5 points.
• The Nuggets have played 29 games this season that finished with a point total above 226.5 points.
• The teams combine to score 235.7 points per game, 9.2 more points than this matchup's total.
• Combined, these teams allow 234.3 points per game, 7.8 more points than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Mavericks vs. Nuggets

• Dallas has covered 16 times in 40 games with a spread this season.
• The Mavericks have been favored by 1.5 points or more 11 times this season, and covered the spread in two of those contests.
• The Nuggets are 24-16-0 ATS this season.
• Denver has been an underdog by 1.5 points or more seven times this year, and covered the spread in six of those games.
• The Mavericks are 11-9-1 against the spread, and 11-10 overall, at home.
• At home, Dallas has one win ATS (1-5-1) as a 1.5-point favorite or more.
• This season in away games, the Nuggets are 14-9 against the spread and 16-7 overall.
• Away from home, as 1.5-point underdogs or more, Denver is 8-8 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Mavericks vs. Nuggets

• The Mavericks have won 42.9% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (6-8).
• The Nuggets have entered the game as underdogs 10 times this season and won six of those games.
• When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -122 or shorter, Dallas has a record of 6-5 (54.5% win percentage).
• This season, Denver has won five of its seven games when it is the underdog by at least +104 on the moneyline.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Mavericks have an implied win probability of 55.0%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Mavericks vs. Nuggets

• Pick ATS: Mavericks (- 1.5)
• Pick OU: Over (226.5)
  
• Prediction: Mavericks 117 - Nuggets 114
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!