Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz Game 6 Betting Preview/Prop Picks

Game 6 of this series could be the final game between these two teams. The Dallas Mavericks took Game 5 with a 102-77 victory, but now they return to Utah. Their elite-level defense has been the catalyst for them to win so far, will it work again?

They only need one more win to move on to the next round. So, can the Mavericks stop Rudy Gobert and the Jazz again?

The Utah Jazz hasn't found a way to overcome the defense of the Mavericks yet. To force it to Game 7, Utah has to find a way to score. Compared to their performances in the regular season, this looks like a completely different team.

A lot is on the line tonight as the Jazz host the Mavericks. Although they lost the last game, the Jazz come in as narrow favorites tonight.

Dallas Mavericks: Defense wins games and championships

The Mavericks are proving you don't need a high-scoring offense to win games. Through the series, the most the Mavericks have scored is 126 points, which was an anomaly.

Their points per game average through five games is 106, which was near their regular-season average. However, the more impressive thing is what they've been able to do to the Jazz's offense. 

Through five games, the Mavericks' defense has held the Jazz to 99.6 points per game. This is nearly 13 points under what the Jazz averaged through the regular season.

Being able to silence a team's offense is no easy feat, but the Mavericks have done it. Needless to say, we're surprised the Mavericks aren't the favorite to win this game.

Utah Jazz: Utah should treat this game like its Game 7

After their showing against the Mavericks in Game 5, the Jazz are in deep trouble. Their offense is out of sync, and now Donovan Mitchell is on the day-to-day list. Mitchell has been cleared to play tonight, but how healthy is he?

Could he be on limited minutes, or could he get more hurt by trying to play today? Still, the biggest question surrounding the Jazz is will anyone step up?

Rudy Gobert has been targeted by Dallas' defense and has become a non-factor. This means other players will need to step up their game and rise to the occasion.

In Game 5, Bojan Bogdanovic shot zero for nine, went zero for five from the three-point line, and scored two points. This is their starting small forward performing this way, which doesn't inspire much confidence.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz Betting Pick

Looking at both of these teams, we see one clear team that is ready for the playoffs. The Dallas Mavericks have an incredible defense and just enough offense to win games.

Look for the Mavericks to cover the spread and win the game tonight. They'll eliminate the Jazz in Utah and get a short break before round two of the NBA playoffs.

When betting on the total, the obvious choice here is the under. The Jazz's offense over the series has been lackluster, scoring over 100 points just twice. The best bet here is taking the under, especially with the series on the line.

DunkelIndex Free Pick: Dallas Mavericks +0.5, UNDER

Prop Picks

Dallas (-110) OVER 104.5 Points

Dallas is averaging 108.0 points per game on defense, which ranks No. 24 in the league. That average increases to 112.6 points per game in Dallas’ three playoff wins over Utah so far. Scores have gone OVER in five of each of the Mavericks’ last six road games.

With Dunkel predicting a Dallas victory by the score of 105-99, take the Mavericks (-110) to finish OVER their Vegas team total of 104.5 points against the Jazz.

Donovan Mitchell (-110) UNDER 25.5 Points

Mitchell averaged 25.9 points per game during the regular season, which ranked No. 1 on the Jazz and No. 9 in the league. That average decreased to 25.1 points per game at home and 25.0 points per game in Utah losses.

With Dunkel predicting a Mavericks road win, take Mitchell (-110) to finish UNDER his Vegas point total of 25.5 points against Dallas.

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