CSU Northridge vs. Cal Poly Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 5

The CSU Northridge Matadors (13-10, 6-5 Big West) visit the Cal Poly Mustangs (9-14, 5-6 Big West) at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center, beginning at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 5, 2026. The Matadors are 1.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 176.5.

CSU Northridge is coming off of an 81-64 victory over UCSD in its last outing on Saturday. In CSU Northridge's win, Mahmoud Fofana led the way with a team-high 22 points (adding 10 rebounds and one assist). Cal Poly's most recent outing on Saturday ended in a 94-87 win against UC Riverside. Hamad Mousa scored a team-leading 26 points for Cal Poly in the win.

CSU Northridge vs. Cal Poly Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, February 5, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Robert A. Mott Athletics Center in San Luis Obispo, California
• Spread favorite: CSU Northridge -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: CSU Northridge -130
• Moneyline underdog: Cal Poly +108
• Over/Under: 176.5 points

How to watch CSU Northridge vs. Cal Poly

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: CSU Northridge vs. Cal Poly

• This season, CSU Northridge's games have seen a combined score higher than this matchup's 176.5-point over/under four times.
• There have been seven Cal Poly games that finished with a combined score higher than 176.5 points this season.
• The total for the contest of 176.5 is 14.0 points more than the combined points per game averages for the Matadors (81.0 points per game) and the Mustangs (81.5 points per game).
• The 165.7 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents combined this season are 10.8 less than the 176.5-point total in this contest.
• This season the average over/under for CSU Northridge's games is 160.3 points, 16.2 fewer than the over/under of 176.5 set for this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 8.6 points more than the average over/under in Cal Poly's games this season (167.9 points).

Betting the Spread: CSU Northridge vs. Cal Poly

• In CSU Northridge's 21 games this season, it has 11 wins against the spread.
• The Matadors are 5-2 ATS when favored by 1.5 points or more this season.
• In Cal Poly's 21 games this season, it has 10 wins against the spread.
• The Mustangs have been underdogs by 1.5 points or more 18 times this season and are 9-9 ATS in those games.
• Cal Poly has two wins against the spread, and is 2-5 overall, at home this year.
• Cal Poly is winless ATS (0-1) as a 1.5-point underdog or more at home.
• CSU Northridge is 4-6 against the spread, and 3-7 overall, in away games.
• CSU Northridge is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 1.5-point favorites or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: CSU Northridge vs. Cal Poly

• CSU Northridge has entered the game as moneyline favorites seven times this season and won six of those games.
• This season, the Matadors have won six of their seven games when favored by at least -130 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 56.5% chance of a victory for CSU Northridge.
• Cal Poly has won in six, or 33.3%, of the 18 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Mustangs have a win-loss record of 3-10 with odds of +108 or worse this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Cal Poly has a 48.1% chance of walking away with the win.